Thread by @HNIJohnMiller

1) Stupid late thread. Blame the wandering drunken wildebeest that beat on my sliding patio door and my front door incessantly until I told them to fuck off, only to realize it had the wrong address.

I’d like to talk about social desirability bias.

2) We discuss this in the polls, usually, but something strikes me as odd. Outside of blue cities, people aren’t afraid to declare their support for Trump. Even in Myrtle Beach, I’m surrounded by people who support Trump.

the thought occurs... who’s polled saying they’re afraid?

3) It can’t be Democrats. They have to proclaim every five minutes their hatred of Orange Man, publicly on social media where it can be recorded.

Almost like it’s required of them.

....

4) So, I’mma throw out a hypothesis.

What if...

Democrats are afraid to admit they hate their party?

What if, while they may not like Trump, they’re not on board with the modern Dems?

5) But furthermore: they’re AFRAID to admit this? That they don’t WANT to be ostracized for admitting their qualms for fear of being cancelled?

WHAT IF, and hear me out here, Dems are faking public Biden support because of social desirability bias?

6) Democrats have used up all their guaranteed voters in early voting.

What happens tomorrow if the rest just... don’t show up?

And the ones that do vote Trump?

2% of Dem voters having this be the case is enough to swing damn near any state but NY and CA.

7) Keep your eyes on Oregon.

I bet a lot of Portland Dems are paying lip service, to avoid their hones and livelihoods being burned down.

/end