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4 Nov, 24 tweets, 6 min read
NBC News projections:

Trump wins Indiana.

Georgia, Kentucky, South Carolina and Vermont are too early to call.

Virginia is too early to call, Biden leads.
NBC News projects: Senate races in KY, GA (both) and SC are too early to call. nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…

Stay tuned for more updates.
Joe Biden wins Vermont, NBC News projects.
Trump wins Kentucky, @NBCNews projects.
New @NBCNews projections:

Florida is too close to call.

Biden wins Delaware, DC, New Jersey, Massachusetts and Maryland.

Trump wins Oklahoma.

Pennsylvania and New Hampshire are too early to call.
Trump wins Tennessee, @NBCNews projects.
NEW: Mitch McConnell wins re-election in deep red Kentucky, @NBCNews projects.

His Democratic opponent Amy McGrath raised ~$88 million for this race. Eighty-eight million.

nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…
John Cornyn wins re-election to the U.S. Senate in Texas, @NBCNews projects. nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…
Joe Biden wins Colorado, @NBCNews projects.
John Hickenlooper (D) defeats Sen. Cory Gardner (R) in Colorado, @NBCNews projects, marking the Democrats' first Senate pickup tonight.
Trump wins South Carolina, @NBCNews projects.
Biden wins New Mexico, @NBCNews projects.
Republican Tommy Tuberville defeats Democratic Sen. Doug Jones in Alabama, @NBCNews projects.
Biden wins New Hampshire, NBC projects.

Trump wins Louisiana and Kansas, NBC projects.
BREAKING: Democrats will maintain control of the House of Representatives, @NBCNews projects. nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…
Trump wins Utah, @NBCNews projects.
Trump wins Missouri, @NBCNews projects.
Sen. Lindsey Graham (R) wins re-election against Jaime Harrison (D), @NBCNews projects.
Doug Collins is eliminated in Georgia.

The Senate special will advance to a runoff between Raphael Warnock (D) and the incumbent Kelly Loeffler (R), NBC News projects.
NBC News projections:

Biden wins California, Oregon and Washington.

Trump wins Wyoming, Mississippi and Nebraska (3/5 EVs).
Donald Trump wins Ohio, @NBCNews projects.
NBC projections:

Democrats Joe Biden and Mark Warner win in Virginia.

Republicans Donald Trump and Jim Risch win in Idaho.
Trump wins Florida, @NBCNews projects.
Joe Biden wins Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, @NBCNews projects.

Just 1 electoral vote, but potentially a BFD.

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More from @sahilkapur

Sahil Kapur Profile picture
5 Nov
TEXAS (97% in): Joe Biden has more votes in 2020 than Donald Trump got there in 2016.

Biden grew Clinton's TX vote from 3.88M to 5.22M (!).

But Trump grew his TX vote from 4.69M to 5.87M.
And this is the story in battlegrounds all over the country.

Biden got far more votes than Clinton, but Trump grew his vote substantially, too, and it made the election close.

Look at Florida: Clinton got 4.5M and Biden has 5.3M; Trump has gone from 4.6M to 5.6M (with 96% in).
How did Trump grow his vote? Partially by boosting his margins a bit with non-white voters. But more importantly from the early exits he appears to have found a lot more white Americans without a college degree and gotten them to vote, which strengthened him everywhere.
Read 4 tweets
Sahil Kapur Profile picture
4 Nov
Trump is claiming to have won states where he hasn’t been declared the winner, like Georgia, and baselessly said unnamed people are trying to “disenfranchise” his voters.
“Frankly we did win this election,” the president falsely says. Millions of votes have yet to be counted and no winner has been declared.
“We’ll be going to the U.S. Supreme Court. We want all voting to stop,” Donald Trump says.
Read 4 tweets
Sahil Kapur Profile picture
2 Nov
President Trump, in Fayetteville, NC, bashes Fox News polls, suggesting they look bad for him because someone there "doesn't like me very much."
Trump talks up the idea of a “hidden” Trump voters. “Somebody said they’re the shy voters. My people are not shy.” He draws cheers in NC.
Trump is currently naming Fox News hosts he likes. "Sean," "Laura," "Tucker," "the Great Lou Dobbs," "Jeanine," "Jesse," "Hegseth." Each draws varying levels of cheer from his NC crowd.
Read 7 tweets
Sahil Kapur Profile picture
1 Nov
NEW: Joe Biden sees multiple paths to victory with a broad coalition and good polls heading into Election Day.

But some Democrats are haunted by a "crippling fear" of a 2016 redux, despite the differences in 2020, and won't breathe easy until it's over.

nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…
Democrats still fear a 2016 déjà vu, which is part of what's driving the recent bursts of panic over Miami-Dade turnout, mail-in ballots for Black voters and the grim Iowa Poll last night. There will likely be more before it's all over.

nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…
Former Hillary Clinton aide @Zac_Petkanas captures the mood of Democrats in the final sprint to Election Day: "I'm ping-ponging back and forth between utter dread and cautious optimism." nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…
Read 5 tweets
Sahil Kapur Profile picture
1 Nov
Counting ballots does not equal trying to “steal” an election.

Counting ballots does not equal trying to “steal” an election.

Counting ballots does not equal trying to “steal” an election.

Counting ballots does not equal trying to “steal” an election.

Where did people get this idea, which is being validated by judges like Brett Kavanaugh, that it’s unacceptable not to know who won on election night? Of course people would *like* to know. Why is that more important than counting legitimate ballots?
There’s a two-and-half month lame duck period before the next president is inaugurated so there’s no continuity-of-power issue.
Read 4 tweets
Sahil Kapur Profile picture
30 Oct
NBC News exclusive: Stephen Miller has big plans for U.S. immigration policy if Trump wins four more years. He told me what they are. nbcnews.com/politics/immig…
Donald Trump's top four immigration priorities if re-elected, per adviser Stephen Miller:

• New pacts to limit asylum
• Punish and outlaw "sanctuary cities”
• Expand travel ban w/ tougher screening
• New restrictions on work visas

nbcnews.com/politics/immig…
News — Stephen Miller tells me it's unclear if the current U.S. immigration freeze will expire on 12/31/2020 or be renewed. He said that will be "entirely contingent" on governmental analysis that factors in the state of the labor market. nbcnews.com/politics/immig…
Read 9 tweets

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