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4 Nov, 4 tweets, 2 min read
Betting market flips* betfair.com/exchange/plus/…

*can swing wildly and have lots of dumb $ but still...
Betfair has swung to 70+% Trump betfair.com/exchange/plus/…
and swings back wildly as Fox calls AZ for Biden
Biden back up to nearly 75% betfair.com/exchange/plus/…

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More from @BrendanNyhan

Brendan Nyhan Profile picture
4 Nov
Agree. How Fox plays Trump's claims is critically important to how the GOP base perceives the race.
To their credit
Read 4 tweets
Brendan Nyhan Profile picture
23 Oct
Trump is incapable of explaining his abstruse scandal allegations in a way that makes sense outside the Fox News Cinematic Universe.
Related from @cjane87
One key difference between now and 2016 is that the mainstream media isn't doing elaborate exposition of key plot points from the Fox News cinematic universe. As a result, Trump's attacks are unintelligible to people who don't speak Breitbart.
Read 5 tweets
Brendan Nyhan Profile picture
3 Oct
Next: a record-breaking swim in the Potomac
Read 6 tweets
Brendan Nyhan Profile picture
30 Sep
The group that the President refused to denounce and instead told to "stand by" splcenter.org/fighting-hate/… Image
Read 4 tweets
Brendan Nyhan Profile picture
28 Sep
Those foreclosure incentives change dramatically if he loses. He also faces unprecedented legal jeopardy that will only increase once he is out of office. Dangerous incentives for a would-be authoritarian.
Incentives.
Read 8 tweets
Brendan Nyhan Profile picture
23 Sep
This is the nature of tail risk. We should acknowledge uncertainty but focus first and foremost on the very real danger. Experts are gravely worried. We should act now not ask later why warnings weren't heeded (see: 9/11, Chernobyl, etc.). Image
This is not a drill.
A democratic emergency. Full stop.
Read 89 tweets

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