This is a pretty good set of news for Democrats in Nevada. It's not going to be called when the margin is this narrow, but you can pencil it in the Biden column for the purpose of gaming out where we're going from here
https://twitter.com/NVElect/status/1323939478403076096?s=20
We have less concrete data on what's out in Mi than PA, but there are many reasons to think Biden probably catches up, whether it's the trendline/what we know about their count, or what we see in neighboring states and high % counted MI counties
https://twitter.com/johnjonny21/status/1323941906615660545?s=20
The PA situation is obviously far from completion, but we do know there are at least 1.4 mlilion outstanding absentee ballots and so far they're 78-21 Biden. That's enough for him to catch up if it keeps up.
Wisconsin is what it is; I have nothing to add to the many tweets analyzing the situation there in recent hours.
Arizona's a mess. Late mail ballots usually lean young/Democratic here, but we also know the outstanding mail ballots were reg. GOP. Not quite sure how to balance that.
And we have a very clear picture in Georgia, thanks to the needle's analysis of the vote by precinct x method--stipulating that there aren't any errors in the GA county data. There's a lot of heavily Dem vote in the Atlanta area left. It's enough to make Biden a narrow favorite
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