Biden wins the new votes in Nevada by 14 points, and there's still more late mail and provisionals left. I don't know if anyone will call it on this basis, as it's still fairly close and there's no *hard* data on what's out. But you can still pencil this into the Biden column
Additionally, Clark County (Las Vegas) appears to hold a disproportionate share of what's left. That would be good news for Biden, even if the remaining vote methods (late mail, provisional) weren't likely to his advantage
I think a main barrier is that the network projection models may not be built to handle vote by method to this extent. If your model knows it's all late mail/provisionals, then the data could quite possibly support a call. If not, then no call.
https://twitter.com/jisoolegend_/status/1324406108694450181?s=20
And while I don't know it for a fact, a lot of what's happened that seems wrong so far (like Fox needles showing Biden 95% in NC) only seem possible if you're not handling this well
Same thing, I fear? In the pre-2020 days, I think an 8% Biden lead with 70% counted in AZ, or whatever it was exactly, would merit a call!
https://twitter.com/Insel_mitMango/status/1324408558549696518?s=20
Anyway, I think this is legitimately hard to handle well: that's why there's no national needle this year (tho tbh even the old needle wouldn't have called Az/been *that* wrong in NC). But I am a bit surprised there wasn't a greater recognition of these risks
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