What a terrible election. As far as I can tell from the vote analysts, Biden is highly likely to pull this out — the outstanding votes in WI/MI/PA and, for different reasons, GA are likely to be very Democratic, he's probably won AZ and NV. But then what? 1/
The good news is that if Biden has in fact won, we've avoided an immediate collapse into authoritarianism. Yes, it was and is that dire. But will Biden be able to govern? 2/
He'll probably face a Republican Senate, which also means a rigged Supreme Court; and everything we know says that they'll be ruthless about sabotaging everything he does 3/
This means no effective response to an exploding pandemic. No income support for those left destitute. No infrastructure. No action on climate. 4/
Biden kept saying about the awfulness of the Trump era, "that's not who we are." Well, it's not who the majority of us are — he's probably going to win the popular vote by 5 percent or so. But it is, it turns out, who a lot of us are. 5/
And the wildly unrepresentative nature of the Senate empowers the large minority of voters who actually like the authoritarian style — which turns out, shockingly, to include not just white guys in diners but many Latinos. 6/
Assuming Biden wins, the thought police won't be locking up journalists, scientists, etc anytime soon — and yes, that was something I really feared. But America will look more and more like a failed state. 7/
The fight for truth and justice will have to continue. But it's going to be far bleaker than seemed likely just 24 hours ago. fin/
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
The more I look at this election, the less I imagine I understand. Florida was a surprise Trump triumph — and also voted to increase the minimum wage to $15 1/
CA is very liberal — and voted to let Uber and Lyft keep treating their employees as independent contractors, with no benefits 2/
According to Fox exits, majorities favor a government health-care plan and a larger role for government in general 3/
So, what we know: Trump probably won't succeed in stealing this election, but he tried and is continuing to try. His partisan postmaster deliberately disrupted mail-in voting; now he's trying to stop the count of legal votes 1/
And the only reason those votes haven't yet been counted is that R legislators blocked early counting of votes that were mostly cast well before Election Day 2/
So we're in the middle of an attempted coup against democracy, which may not succeed in stopping Biden but may have played some role in control of the Senate. 3/
The final stages of the Trump campaign have involved a lot of flailing. He tried running against imaginary anarchist hordes; when that didn't work, he tried running against Hunter Biden's laptop; now he's running against evil doctors 1/
Trump's claim that the pandemic is basically being fabricated by money-grubbing physicians is grotesque; but it's not as random as it may seem. The shifting politics of doctors are a window into how both America and the GOP are changing 2/ nytimes.com/2020/10/30/us/…
Doctors used to be very Republican. Back in 1961 the American Medical Association urged doctors' wives (hey, it was 1961) to bring their friends over to hear Ronald Reagan denounce Medicare 3/
Next week is going to be horrible, for multiple reasons. One reason I haven't seen mentioned much in the media has come up a lot in my discussions with Wall Street types: the personal desperation of the Trumpies if he loses 1/
Trump himself, of course, faces likely financial ruin from his unpayable debts and perhaps criminal charges if he loses the shield of office. Quite a few officials will probably also face criminal charges for abuse of office, both political and financial 2/
But there's another, more mundane issue facing many lower-level Trump minions: they may not get the traditional soft landing available to former officials, in which you move into a cushy lobbying or industry job 3/
Famous last words, but it does now look as if only blatant theft — which is possible! — can save Trump. But what will be the state of the nation on Jan. 20? The pandemic is exploding 1/
We desperately need strong measures right away — actually several weeks ago: mask mandates, targeted lockdowns, and more. So do you think lame-duck Trump, Republican governors, and so on will go along with urgent action? 2/
If you believe that I have an infrastructure week to sell you, with a degree from Trump University thrown in. In reality, we're more likely to have Proud Boys threatening to kill anyone acting responsibly 3/