Why is Europe yet again at the centre of the coronavirus pandemic?

Guardian @lfspinney

1/

theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
Last week Europe had 1.5m new cases-a record..Europe’s strategy for exiting its spring lockdowns failed..economists’ assessments.say.regions or countries that came down hard and early on the virus not only lost the fewest lives, they were also the most resistant economically

2/
..That’s why it’s so important that governments explain clearly why this exit strategy is the only feasible one – pointing to the countries large and small, rich and poor, island and not, that have pulled it off: Australia, Taiwan, Vietnam, New Zealand, South Korea, China.

3/
It’s also why everyone needs to get to grips with exponentiality, and with the idea that sparing the economy is a false economy. We have to contain the virus. All the alternatives are worse.

4/

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More from @yaneerbaryam

5 Nov
US reported 91,530 cases yesterday, the second highest day for the country, along with 1,130 deaths, highest since mid-Sept. OH, PA, MN, NM, and ME see new highs. ImageImage
Canada sees a new high of 4,738 as 7-day average also sets a new record. 72 new deaths were reported, second highest since early June. Ontario overtook the leveling Quebec to become the current epicenter. Image
Europe reported 242k cases yesterday as 13 countries reported new highs. Italy reports 28,241. Lombardia, Calabria, Piedmont and Valle d'Aosta are labelled red zones in Italy’s new color-coded zoning system. Image
Read 4 tweets
3 Nov
Comparing Oct. with Sept., half of American countries see increases in daily cases. Large increases are observed in Uruguay and Belize, mainly due to the low level of infection in Sept. US sees 50% more cases in Oct. than in Sept. Image
The largest ratio was observed in Canada due to its recent wave starting late Aug. The rise in Canadian cases are primarily in Quebec and Ontario. Image
Europe yesterday reported 238k cases, partly because several countries don't report cases on weekends. Russia saw a new high of 18,381, average daily death tolls are also at the country's highest level since the pandemic; over 300 per day. Image
Read 4 tweets
27 Oct
A new impressive study on #LongCovid months after infection, with data on the probability of various symptoms and a unique mapping of organ damage and the overlap between them.

Anyone involved in corona policy must read it. It is worthwhile.

@Meir_Rubin

medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
201 participants, median age 44, 70% women, large majority not high risk. Only 18% hospitalized.

Median time 140 days from first symptom:

99% suffered at least four symptoms. 42% suffered at least ten.

In 66%, injuries in at least one organ, in 25% in at least two organs.
Injuries documented in heart, lungs, kidneys, liver and other organs. The brain was not tested.

Among the main symptoms: fatigue, muscle aches, difficulty breathing, headaches or joints, cough and even inability to walk.
Read 7 tweets
27 Oct
Massachusetts cases rising

"Five charts that show why people are worried about another COVID-19 surge in Mass."

Why wait? (see BCG report)

1/

msn.com/en-us/news/us/…
1. Wastewater tracking
2. Confirmed cases
3. Testing positivity (they are trying to hide the problem by including screening and repeat tests -- Wow)
4. Hospitalizations

2/
5. US confirmed cases

"The crucial question is: Will Massachusetts cases start rising like the national numbers or will the state be able to put the brakes on?"

Why wait? See BCG report next

3/
Read 4 tweets
26 Oct
With two thirds of countries in the Middle East reporting a decreasing or stabilizing trend, Iran and Libya saw new highs yesterday. Jordan, UAE, and Lebanon are also at their highest levels of infection.
India reports continuous improvement. Yesterday, they reported 45,148 cases and 450 deaths. Both are the lowest for months. The testing positive rate dropped below 5% recently, indicating relatively adequate testing capability to identify new infections.
Europe yesterday: 215k. Italy 21,273, exceeding 20k for the first time. In terms of daily cases, Campania, Piemonte, Toscana, Lazio, and Veneto are all approaching the level of Lombardia during March, which was the epicenter of Italy during the first wave.
Read 4 tweets
26 Oct
Great news! Senegal joins our Winners circle!

Less than 20 cases per day.

Last two days 8 cases and 14 cases.

Congratulations!

Keep going to zero!

How did they do it?

endcoronavirus.org/countries

1/
"Senegal's quiet COVID success: Test results in 24 hours, temperature checks at every store, no fights over masks"

"Hotels have been transformed into quarantine units. Scientists are racing to develop a cutting-edge, low-cost ventilator."

usatoday.com/story/news/wor…

2/
"This isn't the pandemic response in South Korea, New Zealand..

It's Senegal, a west African country with a fragile health care system, a scarcity of hospital beds and about seven doctors for every 100,000 people."

3/
Read 11 tweets

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