if this holds—and caution with early exits—this may be the biggest polling fail. Or a failure to explain the proportion between college educated white women moving from Trump to HS or less white women moving toward him.
Also exit polls cannot poll mail-in voters, which were heavily Dem. So another way that the data of this whole election may not be comparable to past ones.
Another indicator that future campaigns may need whole new playbooks.
Actually the more i think about it, i'm not sure exits will tell us much, except about the attitudes of those who voted in person. Which are slanted in various ways in various regions.
Caveat. Evidently they call non in-person voters to try and make up for this, but given the radical ways voting patterns shifted, did they/are they doing enough?
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Have walked by four polling stations in the Mission. Zero lines, all is calm. They have hand washing stations set up.
People just out, doing their thing, eating tacos. Dia de los Muertos shrines everywhere
Anyway if you havent voted in SF it’s going to be super easy. Vote totals will matter re aftermath, many important down ballot races and propositions to weigh in. #Vote2020
Loving Trumpers who're like "what about James fucking Madison you POS" and I'm sorry that I didn't feel it needed to be spelled out—amid a news cycle about Trump fortifying WH before the election—that I was discussing w/r/t elections, and not the War of 1812.
Dunning-Kruger.
"We closed off Pennsylvania Avenue after 9/11!!"
Yes, man-children, I am aware.
Not really the same thing as cowering from your own people because you're trying to steal an election, is it.
Anybody who was alive and in and around journalism in Shalit’s heyday could have known this would end badly. Exactly the same kind of shit and subsequent excuses that happened back then. Exactly.
“Through her attorney, Sloane informed us that she does not, in fact, have a son. We have independently corroborated that Sloane does not have a son, and we have corrected the story to remove the reference to her having a son.”
My god.
Also...I haven’t lived in DC since the early 90s but I can assure you that her behavior back then—and that of those who initially covered for it—utterly transfixed and enraged a generation of her journalistic peers.
She still owes Klaidman a real fucking apology, for one thing.
1/ Utah will not flip blue. But voters there have defied their conservative supermajority to demand big progressive changes. And mobilized a lot of new voters in the process. Sound familiar?
2/ Think of this piece as either a harbinger how Dems win on 11/3 or a blueprint for how they proceed if the GOP's scheme to thwart the popular vote succeeds. By @billgifford