For those of you wondering how national reporters are getting estimates of 200,000-300,000 outstanding mail-in ballots in North Carolina, so are we.
Actually, we're not. It's wrong.
The number to watch is about 117,000 estimated outstanding ballots, per state data.
Actually, we're not. It's wrong.
The number to watch is about 117,000 estimated outstanding ballots, per state data.
And again, big caveats:
1) Based on ballot requests, so some won't be counted because they weren't:
a) Postmarked by 11/3
b) Received by 11/12
c) Sent at all
d.) Properly completed
2) Doesn't account for outstanding ballots where voters voted on Election Day
1) Based on ballot requests, so some won't be counted because they weren't:
a) Postmarked by 11/3
b) Received by 11/12
c) Sent at all
d.) Properly completed
2) Doesn't account for outstanding ballots where voters voted on Election Day
NOW LET'S TALK PROVISIONALS Y'ALL
Provisionals are *different* than absentee by-mail ballots. We don't know how many provisionals were cast yet in North Carolina.
Provisionals are *different* than absentee by-mail ballots. We don't know how many provisionals were cast yet in North Carolina.
Provisional votes are cast when there's some question about eligibility, ballot style, etc. In 2016, state data show voters in North Carolina cast about 61,000 provisional ballots.
But about 56% of those were NOT counted.
But about 56% of those were NOT counted.
Hard to know how many provisionals will be cast in 2020 (it could be a lot! or not!) until @NCSBE announces that number.
But provisionals =/= outstanding mail-in ballots.
But provisionals =/= outstanding mail-in ballots.
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