A question about Trump messing w/the Census (ending it early, trying to add the citizenship question, possibly fucking around with the data itself, etc): 1/
If I understand correctly, the REASON Trump/Miller were screwing w/the Census is to deliberately undercount POC in order to reduce how much federal funding goes to those areas, correct?
If so, what does that mean for REDISTRICTING at the federal and state levels? 2/
For instance, let's say that Detroit, which has around 670,000 residents, is undercounted, and the 2020 Census claims it's down to just 600,000. When redistricting is done, each district is supposed to be roughly equal in population *according to Census data*, correct? 3/
Detroit will go Dem anyway, but that could mean, say, 40K more Dem votes for statewide races coming out of the city than the GOP was expecting. 4/
What about in a swing or red area, though? If the Census says only 5% of the population is POC when it's actually 10%, that could cause gerrymandered districts drawn which are supposedly 55% GOP but SURPRISE!
Is my logic correct here? Thanks. 5/END
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In addition to other structural changes like eliminating the Electoral College and the filibuster, making DC & PR states, and expanding the courts, we should also really move Inauguration Day up by another couple of weeks.
It used to be in March, back when it could take weeks fore the mew President to even travel to DC. It was moved to January 20th in 1933, but travel and communication could still take days or weeks. These days, there’s no reason not to move it up to, say, January 6th.
I know some state officials take office as soon as December, but Congress has to formally vote POTUS in I think and the new session starts on January 3rd, correct?
Both Kasich *AND* AOC should probably sit this out for the moment. There’ll be plenty of time for Dems to fall back into disarray AFTER WE FLIP THE TWO GA SENATE SEATS.
Understand this, everyone: As awesome as kicking Trump & his entire gang of thugs out is, if we don’t flip BOTH GA Senate seats you can kiss ANY remotely “progressive” or even *decent* legislation goodbye. McConnell will let every bill passed by the House continue to gather dust.
You can also kiss ANY federal judicial confirmations goodbye, much less expanding the courts. McConnell will let the benches sit empty for 4-8 more years if he needs to. He has 200+ young right wing zealots in place already.
IF YOU KNOW ANYONE IN GEORGIA, send them this graphic. These are projected estimates of how many Georgians would lose healthcare coverage if the #ACA is struck down. Electing Jon @ossoff & @ReverendWarnock is the key to saving healthcare coverage for up to 554,000 Georgians. 3/
THIS. Also, this will still be in the middle of a pandemic...which will likely be raging even worse than ever. It'll also be in early January, which means most early/mail-in voting will be done between...Christmas & New Year's?? Who's more/less likely to show up?
For comparison, here's what happened in the 2008 Georgia runoff election, when Republican Saxby Chambliss beat Jim Martin...but note some key differences:
Re. 2022: I agree that the prospects for Dems keeping the House aren't pretty based on history + gerrymandering, but it should also be noted that the same election experts who were CERTAIN that Dems would *expand* the House this year were dead wrong.
In 2002, at the height of GWBs approval & post-9/11 fever, NO ONE would have imagined that just 6 years later the next President would not only be a black Democrat with a "Muslim-sounding" name (including the middle name "Hussein")...
...but that he would be a 1st-term Senator who would beat a long-term, respected Senator who was also a legitimate war hero by 10 million votes.
In 2016, almost no one imagined that Hillary Clinton would be beaten a washed-up, racist, misogynistic reality TV star.
This is PRECISELY what I was saying back in June and I was yelled at by certain people for questioning the wisdom of using that particular PHRASE (even if I fully supported the underlying policies of reallocating resources/demilitarization of the police, etc).
I consider myself a fairly liberal Democrat and *I* assumed it literally meant removing all funding from police departments. The vision in my head was indeed essentially The Purge.
Obviously that was cleared up pretty quickly by folks here but MOST PEOPLE AREN’T GONNA INQUIRE whether someone calling for defunding the police actually mean that they want to defund the police.