Thread by @charles_gaba

THIS. Also, this will still be in the middle of a pandemic...which will likely be raging even worse than ever. It'll also be in early January, which means most early/mail-in voting will be done between...Christmas & New Year's?? Who's more/less likely to show up?

https://twitter.com/JonWalkerDC/status/1324740852917260288

For comparison, here's what happened in the 2008 Georgia runoff election, when Republican Saxby Chambliss beat Jim Martin...but note some key differences:

politico.com/story/2008/12/…

In 2008, Chambliss came 9,000 votes short of the 50%+1 threshold, forcing a runoff vs. Martin. In the runoff, however, he crushed Martin by 16 points.

HOWEVER...
--Control of the Senate wasn't on the ballot; Dems already had 58 seats (MN wouldn't be determined for 6 months);

--The 2008 runoff took place on December 2nd, just 4 weeks after the general election. The 2020 runoff will take place on January 5th, 9 weeks later.

That not only means more time to register voters, organize, GOTV etc, but it also means exhausted voters will get a break first.

--Turnout in the 2008 GA runoff was only around 35% at most. I'm guessing it'll be a lot higher (on both sides) this time.

--Lots more early voting/vote by mail

--As far as I know, Saxby Chambliss wasn't guilty of profiting off of advance knowledge of a pandemic.

--There's also the Defeated Trump/MAGA factor. Who the hell knows WHAT sort of crazy shit he & his rabid base are gonna pull between now and 1/05/21?

--Finally, of course, @staceyabrams & her organization are doing a kick-ass job, and they're perfectly positioned for this.

In short, donate here and buckle up, the 2020 roller coaster isn't over yet:
#FlipBothGASeats
#FlipTheSenate
secure.actblue.com/donate/garunof…