Thread by @GosiaGasperoPhD

Alberta: Exponential growth
Daily new cases doubling time is still ~2.5 weeks

Projection stays the same:
Nov 11, 1000+ daily new cases
Nov 28, 2000+ daily new cases
Dec 15, 4000+ daily new cases

We urgently need a decisive action to avoid a crisis.

1/

We, together with most Western countries, achieved now the surge predicted by theory (red line) 👇

2/
endcoronavirus.org/green-zones

It's not too late to change the strategy

Let's follow NZ, Vietnam, Atlantic Canada, Australian states, and others, who succeeded in elimination
(elimination = no sustained community transmission)

(While our experimenting with "simmering" ended up with roaring flames)

3/

We have empirical evidence that elimination does work.

We don't have such an evidence for "simmering".

4/

Let's do what works

5/