So, I dated a woman once whose former father-in-law had been a complete co-conspirator with Bernie Madoff.

She had long suspected it. Her husband, on the other hand, worked for his father and completely believed he was just a legitimate success.

1/
When Madoff went down, her husband remained 100% certain that his father wasn’t a party to Madoff’s scam.

Even as evidence mounted, he just could not be brought to believe the truth about his dad.

2/
Then, one day after they had divorced, he showed up at her door in tears and said “He knew. My dad knew.”

An entire lifetime of denial - even to the point of complete cognitive dissonance - had finally broken down.

And he knew it had all been a lie.

3/
I’ve thought of that story often as I’ve watched Donald Trump, Jr. spiraling deeper and deeper into increasingly manic and incoherent denialism.

His feed today is just *unhinged*.

People assume all of the Trump’s are in on the con.

4/
Junior though... I think he’s a true believer.

I think he truly believes his father is a genius and a success and a legitimate businessman who just plays hard rather than just cheats and commits crimes.

5/
Junior seems to be on a collision course with a truth even he can no longer deny.

That may not end well.

When Madoff’s own boys had that day of reckoning, one didn’t survive it.

6/
Junior appears to be in bad shape. Can’t imagine that’s going to get better.

His father doesn’t give a remote shit about him. The people he thought were friends in politics are going to ghost him.

He could be headed for bad, bad times.

7/7
p.s. I feel bad for people who grew up with dysfunction in their childhoods.

I don’t absolve them of responsibility for their adult choices and treatment of others.

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More from @TheRealHoarse

7 Nov
I’m happy for everyone today but in particular, I’m happy for my mom.

She’s a joiner. She gets involved. Before the midterms, each and every week, she protested in front of the offices of her Republican Rep.

She’s been to a slew of town halls with the Dem who replaced him.

1/
She helped sew masks as part of a group of seniors who made 15,000.

As this election neared, she joined a group writing letters to Pennsylvania voters.

The leader of the group asked if she could get some stamps. So she did. Bought a couple hundred.

2/
Then he asked for some more. So she went on eBay and found someone selling Forever Stamps. Bought a few hundred more.

Then he asked again. And again. And again.

UPS envelopes were arriving in the mail slot every other day.

By the end, she had bought over 50,000.

3/
Read 4 tweets
4 Nov
So I popped by my preferred pub for an outdoor pint and a bowl of soup earlier.

After, I masked up and went inside to use the restroom.

It was like that scene from The Shining. But with good juju.

Completely empty. No one save for a bartender who I’m friend’s with...

1/
Jay waved me over and start pouring me a Guinness.

I sat on a stool near the door in case people hustled in and I had to bounce.

“How long has it been—” he said.

“March 12th. Halftime of the Big East Tournament.”
“That’s right. Man, crazy.”

And then we chit-chatted about bullshit. Staff that hasn’t come back to work. Bar gossip. Australia.

Both masked up and a good distance apart.

It was a carve-out: A brief, unusual, moment of normality on an abnormal day.

3/
Read 4 tweets
4 Nov
I’m just going to bitch for a second.

We all deal with stress and anxiety differently. I get calm when things gets crazy.

The more people around me freak out, the more I suspend emotion and anchor. That’s just my nature.

1/
There are reasons for that. (Adult children of alcoholics, hello!)

And then, as I’m anchored against a rising wind, I feel the energy of others’ stress and anxiety intensely.

I am more stressed about others’ stress than about my own.

2/
It is no fun to be intensely anxious. It isn’t fun to feel physically and emotionally overwrought.

There are a healthy number of people like myself who say calming, optimistic, positive things because while you may not need to hear them, some people do.

3/
Read 6 tweets
4 Nov
I’m just going to open this as a single thread for general election-related chatter rather than clog your timelines.

Let us commence chatting...

1/
MSNBC showing early returns in Florida. Early voting and vote by mail.

Biden - as expected due to dem skew in early/mail voting - is doing better than HRC did in 2016 in every county.

Based on how much vote remains, Biden looking very competitive in FL so far.
More importantly, I’ve been keeping my eyes peeled for any early signs of weakness like we... shudder... saw in 2016.

So far, all is as expected or positive.

I already feel better about FL than I did in 2016 at this point - and he doesn’t need FL.
Read 11 tweets
3 Nov
So, in Trump’s narcissistic cycle, there is a predictable sequence of phases that play out whenever he is facing a public humiliation.

1) Double Down Donnie
2) Loco Lawn Sprinkler
3) Sad and Silent
4) Hunting for Scapegoats
5) Riding the Excuse Train

1/
Whenever Trump is facing a public embarrassment he sees coming, he first doubles down on all of the stupid shit that put him in that hole to begin with. He has no other tools.

Then he frantically spins like a lawn sprinkler desperately spraying unhinged nonsense.

2/
The worse the pending embarrassment, the more unhinged the nutbaggery out of his mouth.

See: the past week.

It has been just a firehose of industrial-grade batshit.

3/
Read 12 tweets
3 Nov
In 2016:

- 57 million people voted early, absentee or by-mail.
- 80 million voted on Election Day

So far in 2020:

- 100 mil voted early, absentee or by-mail

The two big questions:

- how many of those 100 mil are new/unlikely voters?
- what will today’s turnout be?

1/
In a way, Trump is already in a lose-lose situation.

1) He needs a very big turnout today

Thanks to his rhetoric about mail-in voting, his base overwhelmingly skews toward in-person voting this year

2/
But...

2) If today’s turnout exceeds 40 mil votes (only 1/2 of 2016’s Election Day total), 2020 turnout will have exceeded 2016 turnout.

And that favors Biden.

There are only so many white male/no college voters in the country and that’s the only demo DJT is winning handily.
Read 6 tweets

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