1/ I hate to say this, but I think something people are really underestimating is how far Trump has driven many of his supporters into the deep end — and how little even him “graciously conceding” will calm down 10% or so of the country, even when he does concede (which he will)
2/ One of the first inklings of this was the debate with Kirsten Walker, when Trump clearly felt she was being fair and even complimented her, but his supporters thought she was overtly biased and totally unfair.
3/ It’s been very obvious in other places too, though. QAnon is an example that’s quite known to everyone — where Trump is no longer “driving” but his supporters are. They made the theory and goaded/pushed him into it, not the other way around.
4/ We’ve seen it with Fox News-Trump too. The network does little but lavish praise on him and excuse his maladies, especially the prime time lineup, which legitimately resembles state television some nights. But in a week like this, Fox journalists had more spotlight...
5/ And Fox viewers who are die hard Trump supporters are now abandoning the network for OAN and Newsmax because it’s not Trump-friendly enough. I can’t really emphasize how frightening and dangerous that is — that Fox isn’t nice enough to Trump for them — but it’s very bad.
6/ Now we’re here, and everyone is talking as if Trump coming out and giving a Trumpian concession speech, where he’ll read the teleprompter and then interject with musings that are the total opposite of what he’s been told to say, will somehow appease these supporters. It won’t.
7/ As far as I can tell — and I speak to and follow these Trump supporters, some are people I care dearly about — were have truly entered a different territory now. Trump losing or conceding isn’t going to create a reality for those supporters that the country has rejected him.
8/ It just means they’re not going to take their cues from Trump anymore — but instead all the Trump sycophants and Trump personalities that have grown huge followings during his presidency. I’m not sure where it goes from here, but I gotta say I don’t like it.
9/ I hope POTUS concedes soon and I hope he exceeds my expectations in how he does it. But when he does concede, I just hope people realize it is not going to satisfy all of his supporters like a light switch going out. I think it’s genuinely a runaway train now.
END/ I don’t really have a solution here besides engaging people and — as I’ve said this week — holding the line on the reality of how this election happened (legitimately). But I do think so much damage has been done, and it’s gonna take awhile to undo.
That’s Kristen Walker* not Kirsten Walker, of course, a woman whose name deserved to be spelled correctly. Just don’t want to break up this thread.
Welker.

Kristen Welker.

Goodnight.

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More from @Ike_Saul

5 Nov
1/ ALRIGHT Y'ALL. ELECTION FRAUD DEBUNKING MEGA THREAD. I’m following claims of fraud and looking into them. I think I’ve solved most now. Nothing is holding up under any scrutiny so far so I’m making a thread to track in one place. Please RT! #ElectionResults2020 #Election2020
2/ By far the most viral of these claims is the video of officials in Detroit papering up/boarding up the windows inside their polling center in Michigan. This, admittedly, was a bizarre sight. But was 100% explainable and was the right thing to do.
3/ Officials rightly blocked the windows when crowds came inside and began trying to film ballots. Poll watchers EXCEEDED THE LIMIT INSIDE. This is not legal - you can’t barge in and film who ppl voted for. OF COURSE, there were *134 REPUBLICAN POLL WATCHERS* inside the room.
Read 262 tweets
4 Nov
Could Fox News Decision Desk call this election before midnight tonight? They have AZ, WI, and they'll call Michigan soon. Once we get another Nevada batch (later today) it will likely be over. Would be pretty wild if they are first. #Election2020
Nevada now saying they will announce results tomorrow. PA vote count is still coming in, and the Fox News Decision Desk has the same data Wasserman, Cohn, etc. do. It's all numbers, and I could see them calling PA (and thus the election) before midnight.
Read 4 tweets
3 Nov
1/ YOUR DUMB MAPS THREAD -- here are the different kinds of maps I'm seeing out there, and what they mean to me.

Map #1: the safe bet I'd bet my actual money on (the polls are basically right, nothing really interesting happens, I am a nerd and love data) Image
2/ Map #2: The Trump upset map. If Trump is going to win, this is probably how he does it. (I am a pragmatic Trump supporter who really wants to see a path for him and this is the path I see) Image
3/ Map #3: The Biden crushing map. If the polls are wrong, but underestimating Biden, we quickly head toward this outcome. (I am a diehard Democrat who has aneurysms because of Trump and this is my optimistic hope for election night) Image
Read 11 tweets
23 Oct
1/ Alright. Let's go through this Kim Strassel column. The lede of a story is always incredibly telling, so surely hers will center on the bombshell news that Joe Biden corruption is now proven!
2/ This is unlike anything we have ever seen in American politics. Here we have a politician who is -- buckle up your seatbelts everyone!!!! -- worried about his "family brand."
3/ Alright everyone. This part is confusing. See if you can follow along. Hunter Biden, Joe Biden's son, was trying to make money based on who his father was. I know, I know. It's incomprehensible. What kind of family would profit off their own name???
Read 17 tweets
22 Oct
So the story here is that Joe Biden had a meeting in 2017 -- when he was not in office and not running for office -- to discuss a potential business opportunity with a Chinese energy firm that never happened.

That's it. That's literally the story.
I mean really, what the hell? This guy's bombshell is that he met Joe Biden ONE TIME, and the Biden's hold him not to mention Joe's involvement (duh!) and then... nothing happened. This is the election-moving story?
No joke, I was super interested in this story. Anyone following me the last week has seen me tweeting inquisitively about it. But if this is the best Trump, Giuliani and all these guys can do it's maybe one of the most overplayed stories I've ever seen.
Read 5 tweets
22 Oct
Pretending Hunter Biden didn't sell off his name for lucrative business deals is asinine. He did. Duh. There are still a lot of questions about how much Joe knew or whether he ever "got a cut." And there's also the rather obvious fact that Trump's corruption is worse.
Trump spent an entire business career stiffing contractors, low-wage workers, hiring undocumented immigrants. Now he's spent his entire political career pretending he was a friend to blue-collar workers and the enemy of undocumented immigrant workers stealing jobs. Laughable.
Trump spent his entire business career cutting deals w/ shady foreign actors and sucking up to leaders like Vladimir Putin. Now his political career is him pretending he has no involvement anywhere but USA while his own kids continue to profit overseas and campaign for him.
Read 6 tweets

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