330 deaths by or with covid-19 from a population of 1,381,739.
So clearly, a lot of "cases" (positive test results) but very few deaths relative to the size of this urban area.
What about hospitals?
Trillium Health Partners, which operates two hospitals in Mississauga and one close by in Toronto, reports a staggering... 33 patients confirmed positive with covid-19.
And only 8 of those 33 are in ICU.
William Osler Health System, which operates Brampton's only hospital (along with Etobicoke General in Toronto and other facilities) reports a whopping... 57 patients confirmed positive with covid-19.
And only 15 of those in ICU.
Given that the hospitalization numbers for both of those health systems in Peel include hospitals in neighbouring Toronto, the total number of patients with covid-19 in Peel is fewer than 90 (of which no more than 23 in Peel ICUs).
It's clear what the problem is: unelected public health bureaucrats that have free reign to dictate the terms of civic and economic life, and spineless politicians like @fordnation, @BonnieCrombie, and @patrickbrownont that don't stand up to them.
Addendum: I forgot to add mention of Caledon, the more rural northern municipality of Peel. However, Caledon case and death numbers are included in the chart.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Here's the seasonal pattern of influenza and pneumonia in Ontario.
Look familiar?
Hospitalizations for influenza and pneumonia peak at 27/100,000 in January and hit trough at 11/100,000.
Multiplying by 147 to adjust for Ontario's population, that would be a range of 1,617 in August to 3,969 in January.
Could covid simply be displaying its seasonality? If that's the case, this isn't a second wave; it's autumn.
Look at the trend of covid-linked hospitalizations below - keeping in mind that we didn't have mass PCR testing for covid last winter, but ramped it up in the spring.
In 2018, there were 205,409 deaths among those over 70, and the 70+ population was 4,319,780. That means that ~4.76% of those over 70 years of age died that year (of all causes).
CDC's Current Best Estimate of Covid-19 IFR is 5.4% for those over 70%.