Here's the seasonal pattern of influenza and pneumonia in Ontario.
Look familiar?
Look familiar?
Hospitalizations for influenza and pneumonia peak at 27/100,000 in January and hit trough at 11/100,000.
Multiplying by 147 to adjust for Ontario's population, that would be a range of 1,617 in August to 3,969 in January.
Multiplying by 147 to adjust for Ontario's population, that would be a range of 1,617 in August to 3,969 in January.
Could covid simply be displaying its seasonality? If that's the case, this isn't a second wave; it's autumn.
Look at the trend of covid-linked hospitalizations below - keeping in mind that we didn't have mass PCR testing for covid last winter, but ramped it up in the spring.
Look at the trend of covid-linked hospitalizations below - keeping in mind that we didn't have mass PCR testing for covid last winter, but ramped it up in the spring.
Could this be explained by Hope-Simpson's theory of seasonality?
https://twitter.com/FatEmperor/status/1275841060204396551?s=20
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