Biden supports the rules. He's not a radical or extremist like Trump and Johnson. He supports the Western Alliance.
So he supports the WTO and the EU and he will require the UK's rule-breaking government to fall in line or face punishment by our allies.
Biden is an old-school President. Experienced, calm, knowledgeable and competent. That he defeated nationalist bluster even against the advantages of incumbency, is a problem for Tories facing Keir Starmer.
Brexiters clap whatever they are told to. (See them clapping both the WA and its defeat because Johnson said so).
An American trade deal was to be a big clap moment for brexit - despite the deal being terrible. But Biden won't do one now, unless Tories lose on Northern Ireland.
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Big problems for the Republican Party that stem from this election.
1. Trump may turn on them for letting him down. 2. Trump may stick around like a bad smell. 3. Georgia and Texas are becoming swing states. 4. The popular vote can't be defeated forever.
Trump may now turn on Republicans for letting him down.
Donald Trump will not accept he was at fault. So he'll blame imaginary fraud.
The Republican Party will move on, will not push forward Trump electors in defiance of state votes, so Trump may attack them for weakness.
If Trump blames Republicans for not backing him - in pursuing imaginary fraud, keeping his people out of jail, or even for refusing to overturn state democracy - many Trump fans will turn on the party too.
That's problematic as the party needs those voters still.
Brexit creates four big strategic problems for the UK. In order of importance they are:
1. The likely end of the UK 2. The loss of national security 3. The loss of future energy security 4. Economic harm
And yes, economic harm really is only fourth.
A thread...
Brexit will likely end the UK.
This was widely expected of brexit before the vote in 2016, since Scotland exposed to Westminster (English) government without EU protection was likely to want independence. Polling now shows a big shift towards independence as a result.
England might hope to deny Scotland independence by simply refusing it. Global history however, shows that is highly unlikely to work. Having alienated our NATO allies with brexit, the UK will have little backing to deny democracy in Scotland if it wants independence.