The Biden win is bad for the Tories in four big ways.

1. Biden remembers Johnson's racism towards Obama.

2. Biden supports the rules-based global order.

3. Biden represents a win for competence over nationalist bluster.

4. Biden won't rush a trade deal that hurts Irish peace.
Biden dislikes Johnson because Johnson is racist. Remember, he was VP under Obama when Johnson disregarded Obama for being black.

So don't expect Biden to hide his disdain for Johnson behind the scenes or be kind about UK policy.

Biden supports the rules. He's not a radical or extremist like Trump and Johnson. He supports the Western Alliance.

So he supports the WTO and the EU and he will require the UK's rule-breaking government to fall in line or face punishment by our allies.
Biden is an old-school President. Experienced, calm, knowledgeable and competent. That he defeated nationalist bluster even against the advantages of incumbency, is a problem for Tories facing Keir Starmer.
Brexiters clap whatever they are told to. (See them clapping both the WA and its defeat because Johnson said so).

An American trade deal was to be a big clap moment for brexit - despite the deal being terrible. But Biden won't do one now, unless Tories lose on Northern Ireland.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Political Motivation (🏡)

Political Motivation (🏡) Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Margin4Error

6 Nov
Big problems for the Republican Party that stem from this election.

1. Trump may turn on them for letting him down.
2. Trump may stick around like a bad smell.
3. Georgia and Texas are becoming swing states.
4. The popular vote can't be defeated forever. Image
Trump may now turn on Republicans for letting him down.

Donald Trump will not accept he was at fault. So he'll blame imaginary fraud.

The Republican Party will move on, will not push forward Trump electors in defiance of state votes, so Trump may attack them for weakness. Image
If Trump blames Republicans for not backing him - in pursuing imaginary fraud, keeping his people out of jail, or even for refusing to overturn state democracy - many Trump fans will turn on the party too.

That's problematic as the party needs those voters still. Image
Read 10 tweets
3 Nov
Brexit creates four big strategic problems for the UK. In order of importance they are:

1. The likely end of the UK
2. The loss of national security
3. The loss of future energy security
4. Economic harm

And yes, economic harm really is only fourth.

A thread...
Brexit will likely end the UK.

This was widely expected of brexit before the vote in 2016, since Scotland exposed to Westminster (English) government without EU protection was likely to want independence. Polling now shows a big shift towards independence as a result.
England might hope to deny Scotland independence by simply refusing it. Global history however, shows that is highly unlikely to work. Having alienated our NATO allies with brexit, the UK will have little backing to deny democracy in Scotland if it wants independence.
Read 9 tweets
13 Dec 19
Manifesto For Opposition.

1. Electoral Reform
2. Climate Change
3. Reinvigorate the State
4. Internationalism
5. Devolve Power
6. Rebuild NHS

Opposition parties need to come together to find common ground. Here's how:

1/8
Manifesto For Opposition.

Electoral Reform

There is fundamental right behind votes mattering. All opposition parties can benefit from a less extreme electoral system.

Agree a platform across parties, and this will ease future co-operation.

2/8 Image
Manifesto For Opposition.

Climate Change

All opposition parties agree climate change matters.

So agreeing a new consensus on how to undertake a green revolution makes more sense than marginally different approaches.

3/8 Image
Read 8 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!