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@FishingForInfo

10 Nov

Found another file on VA website. This one is a "Change Control" log for votes in the system. I've only begun to explore this, but there's some interesting activity for VA-7 for Spanberger. On Oct 30th, a preload change was initiated that would expire at 11/4 @ 4:13AM

At 4:13AM, 66,498 votes are assigned to her with an expiration of 11/5 @ 11:26 AM. When this comes around, the total is adjusted to 63,687. Reason given is "Tabulation Error in Precinct". The last change has no expiration date. These changes affected Chesterfield County.

This lines up with the raw vote total for Spanberger in Chesterfield County. There's also a change records to assign Rashid (VA-1) in Stafford county. See both pics attached :

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@FishingForInfo

9 Nov

@WontMarch4Soros

@WontMarch4Soros @bedivere_knight @ColdPotatoSpud After thinking about the data / analyses I've been doing on the raw data vs website and other reports, I believe I have an explanation for why Rashid has so many more votes than Wittman. This will be a long explanation :

1. This explanation may bounce around a bit, but touches on different aspects of the pics I've posted across different threads. Ask questions if things don't seem to follow, since they are related.
If we think about how elections work, different precincts will have diff ballots

2. The ballots are different because downstream the (house reps) are different in the various districts. There are only two races that will be on every ballot across every district precinct. Senate and President. This is important.

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@FishingForInfo

9 Nov

@ColdPotatoSpud

@ColdPotatoSpud @bedivere_knight @Peoples_Pundit 4) The other odd thing in the turnout file is that Stafford County has a huge amount of absentee ballots that were cast "In Person", which you don't see in many of the other counties. Here's the details :

@ColdPotatoSpud

@ColdPotatoSpud @bedivere_knight @Peoples_Pundit The absentee ballots reported in the turnout file is bizzare (high), but is nothing close to what the raw data say are the absentee ballots associated with Rashid in Stafford County. See the details :

@ColdPotatoSpud

@ColdPotatoSpud @bedivere_knight @Peoples_Pundit Those pics show a large number of votes associated with Rashid in the raw data, but in the turnout file, there is a much smaller number of ballots. Since each vote for Rashid must equal 1 ballot. So we should see a minimum of 200K ballots in the Turnout file, but again it doesn't

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