Thread by @dhmontgomery

A new one-day record today for newly reported #COVID19 hospitalizations in Minnesota:

Today’s 4,906 newly reported cases put Minnesota’s 7-day average up to 4,665 cases per day, up 200 from yesterday’s figure, as this continues its steady rise:

Unlike recent weeks, we didn’t see a collapse in testing values in today’s Tuesday report. The positivity rate actually declined, both day-over-day and week-over-week. But as I always say, don’t make too big a deal over minor blips in the data. Wait to see what’s sustained.

Minnesota’s #COVID19 death rate continues to climb grimly upward, up to a 7-day average now of more than 28 per day (a record).

These #COVID19 deaths are rising both in and out of long-term care facilities. Non-LTC deaths are at a record high, and LTR deaths are approaching the record set back in May.

New #COVID19 cases continue to rise dramatically in all parts of Minnesota, but no region is seeing MORE new cases than Central Minnesota:

This is dataviz inside baseball, but this comically small inset map filled all the white space in the upper-left of the graph two weeks ago, before new cases blew out the y-axis.

Adjusted for population size, new #COVID19 cases are rising sharply in every single age group. They’re highest among 20-somethings (who have led for months) but no age bracket is immune to this spike.

Cases are also up in every age bracket, though least of all among Black Minnesotans, who reported the most new #COVID19 cases per capita for much of the spring and summer:

If you’re using the math trick I shared today to convert cases rates into odds of getting sick over time, MN’s current rates would lead to about 25% infection rate if continued for a year, and 2.4% over a month. mprnews.org/story/2020/11/…