Tweet

Roshan Kishore

11 Nov, 12 tweets, 8 min read

@vijdankawoosa

1/n: The manner in which Bihar counting progressed made data crunching in time difficult. Thanks to @vijdankawoosa @naalmot & our excellent editors & designers we managed to do quite a few stories. Thread here

2/n: How to read the Bihar results? It was a very close contest where NDA gained massive momentum in phase 2 & 3, perhaps proof that jungle raj campaign worked. But big churning in both identity & ideology fronts, my big-picture take on the results

m.hindustantimes.com/india-news/bih…

@vijdankawoosa

3/n: Women voters might have saved the NDA from what looked like a defeat initially, & they didn’t discriminate between the JD(U) & BJP. @vijdankawoosa analyses the link between gender wise voting pattern and alliance performances. m.hindustantimes.com/bihar-election…

@vijdankawoosa

4/n: The story of NDA’s late surge & why how the NDA achieved a counter polarisation by exploiting Tejashwi Yadav’s growing momentum by @vijdankawoosa again. Look at the phase wise maps

m.hindustantimes.com/bihar-election…

@naalmot

5/n: Chirag had said he is Modiji’s Hanuman. Results show he was also the Hanuman which set JD(U)’s Lanka on fire. It has won just 1 seat but played spoiler in 64 ACs, 27 of these for the JD(U), @naalmot looks at the numbers

m.hindustantimes.com/bihar-election…

@naalmot

6/n: Bihar assembly will have the highest number of communist MLAs since 1995. The left parties - CPI ML is the best performer - have the highest strike rate in the MGB. @naalmot story

m.hindustantimes.com/bihar-election…

@naalmot

Did Narendra Modi save the day for the NDA? @naalmot analysed 110 ACs in districts where Modi addresses rallies. He couldn’t do much in phase 1, became more effective as polls progressed. Perhaps the Modi effect is more nuanced than we think

m.hindustantimes.com/bihar-election…

@NeelanjanSircar

7/n: It’s been an absolute privilege to get @NeelanjanSircar to write for us on counting days. Too bad we couldn’t have him in the newsroom because of the pandemic. Only he could have thought of (also) quantifying the migrant angle as well. Must read

m.hindustantimes.com/bihar-election…

@naalmot

7/n: Did Narendra Modi save the day for the NDA? @naalmot analysed 110 ACs in districts where Modi addresses rallies. He couldn’t do much in phase 1, became more effective as polls progressed. Perhaps the Modi effect is more nuanced than we think

m.hindustantimes.com/bihar-election…

@vijdankawoosa

8/n: While the middle-aged (in politics, not life) candidates of the NDA and the MGB performed almost at par, the MGB has a big deficit in comparison with the NDA among both older and younger candidates

@vijdankawoosa & my story

m.hindustantimes.com/bihar-election…

@naalmot

9/n: Bihar polls were perhaps the most closely contested since 1977, @naalmot writes

m.hindustantimes.com/bihar-election…

@gilkumar

10/n: Women voters might have saved the NDA but Bihar continues to disappoint when it comes to women in the assembly. @gilkumar and Samridhi Hooda use the @TCPD_Ashoka data to write for us

m.hindustantimes.com/bihar-election…

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More from @Roshanjnu

Roshan Kishore

@Roshanjnu

20 Sep

1/n: A slightly theoretical thread on the political economy of #farmersbill "passed" by the RS.
In 1998 Utsa Patnaik wrote an essay called India’s Agrarian Economy & New Contradictions Following Liberalization for the CPI(M)'s theoretical journal. cpim.org/content/agrari…

2/n: Mandatory disclosure: Utsa, who is among the most eminent Marxist scholars on Indian agriculture (& became famous by arguing in favour of capitalist dev in Indian agriculture against veterans in the now famous Mode of Production debate) was my supervisor in CESP, JNU

3/n: Utsa's essay created a huge controversy within the CPI(M) ranks. It was against the party's programmatic understanding. She argued that the primary contraction within the agrarian economy was no longer between "mass of the working peasantry and labourers on the one hand...

Read 15 tweets

Roshan Kishore

@Roshanjnu

31 Aug

@CASIPenn

1/n: My @CASIPenn Working Paper : Deceleration, Pandemic, Recession: Does India have a Plan? has been officially published now. You can read it here.

Here is a short thread summarising the arguments.

casi.sas.upenn.edu/content/decele…

2/n: India’s economic pain due to the pandemic will be larger due to two reasons. Our economy was caught in a sharp deceleration phase even before COVID-19 hit. This means both businesses & the govt don’t have enough ammunition to fight the pandemic.

3/n: Our health & social security coverage is extremely poor. This will significantly increase the cost of coping with illnesses and job losses, which have affected millions of workers by now.

Read 12 tweets

Roshan Kishore

@Roshanjnu

29 Jul

MPhil to be discontinued under New Education Policy

Introduction of major and minor programmes allowing interdisciplinary learning

Some things never change. NEP repeats the Kothari Commisiom recommendation of spending 6% of GDP on education “at the earliest”

Read 17 tweets

Roshan Kishore

@Roshanjnu

26 Jun

Today is Swami Sahajanand Saraswati’s death anniversary. Swamiji started as a Sanskrit scholar, ascetic, social reformer, educationist, freedom fighter & ended up as a radical peasant leader & one of the founders of the Kisan Sabha in India 1/n

It is a pity that most people either do not know Swamiji or see him as a parochial leader of Bhumihars. His legacy is misused to justify feudal oppression. Swamiji broke ranks with the Bhumihar Mahasabha on the question of anti colonialism & peasant rights 2/n

The quest for welfare of poor farmers, of all castes and religious persuasions led Swamiji to part ways with the Congress and Gandhiji too. In his autobiography he accused the Bihar Congress of suppressing his reports on poverty and exploitation of peasants by zamindars 3/n

Read 12 tweets

Roshan Kishore

@Roshanjnu

25 Jun

Landed in Delhi after a #VandeBharatMission flight from Dulles, Washington today. Some thoughts & observations.

No passengers, no flights (security takes a minute at most) and no shops.
Airports have become ghost towns. Captures the Covid-19 economic disruption 1/n

Flight was full. But it’s mostly pent-up demand. Elderly, who were visiting their children & students, mostly. Once this dries up, and the virus doesn’t slow down, things will become worse for the travel industry 2/n

Embassy & Air India ground staff; quite a few above 50 (seniors get posted to the US may be), were quite efficient & cheerful. The cabin crew dons a full body PPE, unlike passengers who get a PPE kurta. It’s flight, land & test, quarantine for 6 days and fly again for them 3/n

Read 11 tweets

Roshan Kishore

@Roshanjnu

19 May

@arvindsubraman

Just finished rereading the chapter on Migration from the 2016-17 Eco Survey when @arvindsubraman was the CEA.
It uses various methods including analysis of unreserved railway travel to argue that extant figures on no. of migrants in India were gross underestimates. 1/n

This govt also had a report by a working group on migration India in 2017 identifying in-migrant and out-mingrant districts. The point being the government had the intellectual resources to predict the potential scale and direction of the reverse migration which was coming 2/n

So, how does a govt with the best intellectual understanding of the migrant economy end up presiding over the biggest ever crisis of migrant workers?
This is an irony which defines the governance crisis of the present govt in my view 3/n

Read 6 tweets

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