PREDICTION
UK will drop all barriers to european immigration to UK next year.
You think this sounds crazy, right?
Well here’s why...
UK will drop all barriers to european immigration to UK next year.
You think this sounds crazy, right?
Well here’s why...
2/
It’s always worth looking at things which “pass under the radar” - especially when big events are happening elsewhere.
So what’s happened is this:
Over the course of the year the UK govt believes 800 000 mostly foreign born people have left UK.
Think about that figure....
It’s always worth looking at things which “pass under the radar” - especially when big events are happening elsewhere.
So what’s happened is this:
Over the course of the year the UK govt believes 800 000 mostly foreign born people have left UK.
Think about that figure....
3/
It suits govt to believe this is due entirely to COVID but this seems implausible.
But even if true it doesn’t make much difference.
This is in fact at a level that is equivalent to an historical episode of war depopulation.
It’s huge.
But we haven’t noticed cause of COVID.
It suits govt to believe this is due entirely to COVID but this seems implausible.
But even if true it doesn’t make much difference.
This is in fact at a level that is equivalent to an historical episode of war depopulation.
It’s huge.
But we haven’t noticed cause of COVID.
4/
Given that stats show Europeans are down and the only really migration is from nonEU - it’s a pretty safe bet to say hundreds of thousands of EUers have fled UK.
We know the age structure of EUers in UK is heavily geared to working age with few pensioners.
So what next...
Given that stats show Europeans are down and the only really migration is from nonEU - it’s a pretty safe bet to say hundreds of thousands of EUers have fled UK.
We know the age structure of EUers in UK is heavily geared to working age with few pensioners.
So what next...
5/
As Ive banged on for years the worst things about Brexit is UK got migration debate all wrong.
EU states are 1st world & mostly well governed pleasant places there is a incentive to use UK to get skills, experience & cash. If you like it you stay but many retire back “home”.
As Ive banged on for years the worst things about Brexit is UK got migration debate all wrong.
EU states are 1st world & mostly well governed pleasant places there is a incentive to use UK to get skills, experience & cash. If you like it you stay but many retire back “home”.
7/
In effect UK “churned” already (expensively) educated EUers for their work knowing many would return home to have kids (expensive) or retire (old people healthcare is expensive).
This is why the UK effectively threw away their hardest manifesto commitments on migration.
In effect UK “churned” already (expensively) educated EUers for their work knowing many would return home to have kids (expensive) or retire (old people healthcare is expensive).
This is why the UK effectively threw away their hardest manifesto commitments on migration.
8/
A coronavirus EUer depopulation of UK is thus a major economic headache - but if many of these people have given up their rights & are unsure on furlough etc if they’ve already left- they won’t come back.
So how do you get them to return?
You make it easy.
Which is why..
A coronavirus EUer depopulation of UK is thus a major economic headache - but if many of these people have given up their rights & are unsure on furlough etc if they’ve already left- they won’t come back.
So how do you get them to return?
You make it easy.
Which is why..
9/
The UK govt has already trashed the income threshold scheme.
Nobody really noticed because of Coronavirus - but why now?
In the middle of a pandemic?
I’ll tell you why.
Govt are panicking they won’t be able hold the people here let alone attract back those already gone.
The UK govt has already trashed the income threshold scheme.
Nobody really noticed because of Coronavirus - but why now?
In the middle of a pandemic?
I’ll tell you why.
Govt are panicking they won’t be able hold the people here let alone attract back those already gone.
10/
So as - hopefully - COVID is sorted sometime next year with vaccines the depopulation of UK EUers gets clearer. UK will want the students back, the remote workers to be able to visit UK & it’ll not want less housing demand to hit house prices.
There’s only one solution...
So as - hopefully - COVID is sorted sometime next year with vaccines the depopulation of UK EUers gets clearer. UK will want the students back, the remote workers to be able to visit UK & it’ll not want less housing demand to hit house prices.
There’s only one solution...
11/
Let EUers in.
It’s the only option that makes any sense. We’re talking millions of forms otherwise processed by whom? Why?
So don’t be surprised if this time next year there’s - whisper it quietly - freedom of movement from EU to UK
/ends
Let EUers in.
It’s the only option that makes any sense. We’re talking millions of forms otherwise processed by whom? Why?
So don’t be surprised if this time next year there’s - whisper it quietly - freedom of movement from EU to UK
/ends
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