For all the "progressive v. moderate" bickering re. downballot, in the end, Democrats managed to get 12 million MORE people out there to vote for Biden than Hillary. We GOTV.
The REAL problem is Republicans *also* managed to get nearly 10 million more *Trump* voters out there.
The REAL problem is Republicans *also* managed to get nearly 10 million more *Trump* voters out there.
For decades the assumption has been that of the ~40% of American non-voters, most of them were Democrats, so all we had to do is increase turnout as much as possible and voila.
The reality is more complicated--large chunks of them vote Dem...but large chunks also vote GOP.
The reality is more complicated--large chunks of them vote Dem...but large chunks also vote GOP.
Even if it's true, "just ramp up turnout" doesn't necessarily guarantee success.
Let's say there's ~100M who don't generally vote. Let's say that 60M are Dem ideologically.
If so, that means this year Dems turned out 20% of their chunk but the GOP turned out 25% of theirs.
Let's say there's ~100M who don't generally vote. Let's say that 60M are Dem ideologically.
If so, that means this year Dems turned out 20% of their chunk but the GOP turned out 25% of theirs.
That would mean there's still a pool of ~48M potential Dem voters & ~30M potential GOP voters out there.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
