(0) This will be a thread about $DHT, what I deem the prime brokerage /custodian / managerial platform on top of $SNX. While you are at it, if you think you got the chops, make sure to apply to the $500k seed investment to kickstart your fund:
(1) $DHT’s core function very similar to a combo of SS&C, Millennium pod platform, StanChar custodian, and JPM Prime Broker. All the back-end & admin details taken care of, so all a manager needs to do is to generate returns (algo or discretionary)
(2) For any aspiring traders, value-prop is simple – if one has so much alpha, why not leverage that know-how and earn some carry? Those that can, do; those who can’t would just larp / shitpost on youtube / twitter while selling newsletters (you know who you are).
(3) Fee structure / value-accrual eventually will be simple. X% commission, Y% performance fee, and 10% $DHT Platform cut. So if a manager makes 100 bucks on 200 bucks of asset, the fee pool is roughly (200+100)*x + 100*y, whereby manager gets 90% / DHT gets 10%
(4) Future additional complexity can be added to address high-watermarks (only accrue performance fee when performance above previous peak), lock-up tiers coupled w/ various fee structures, etc. There is one thing missing though –
(5) I think the @DhedgeOrg team should seriously consider prioritizing a cap-intro function, whereby manager can allow outside parties get a cut of the fees via referral links (if referred invest in fund, the referee of fund gets a cut of carry through duration of investment).
(6) Thanks to the instant liquidity provided by $SNX (and high fees + asset pool constraints), $DHT is most well-suited for discretionary, somewhat lower-frequency, directional degen traders who sling majors, or low-frequency algos.
(7) What’s really exciting is that as layer-2 + leveraged futures (and more derivatives / instruments) eventually come to $SNX, $DHT will naturally be the 1st beneficiary. $SNX should benefit w/ more fees from $DHT as well.
(8) At the meantime, this segment should embody somewhat low competition – The $YFI continue to focus on on-chain, algorithmic plays while @SetProtocol of the world go for rule-based baskets. Their world could eventually merge so best to place bets all across.
(9) There’s still a ton of work to be done on the $DHT side – UI/UX still needs a ton of work (compare $DHT’s v1 interface vs. the blue-chips, it’s below-average), the dormant collateral in $DHT should be yield-seeking, token economics still a WIP, etc
(10) …and the platform constraint at some point could flare up (SNX debt size limiting size of DHT AUM, trading fees + gas fee still too high, everything regulation related to running a fund and marketing, asset pool may never reach small-caps, etc)
(11) … but it doesn’t take away the fact that barrier of entry for anyone to monetize on one’s alpha (if one ever possesses any) had come down significantly to almost non-existent levels. If you consider yourself really good, you’d make way more here vs. selling newsletters.
(12) As for the token itself, valuation is straight forward re: AUC * blended manager take rate * 10%. To stay true to HF platform spirits, I could really see DHedge managers getting free / discounted access to data vendors (@glassnode, @skewdotcom, etc) as well as..
(13) …research platforms like @Delphi_Digital , @MessariCrypto, @RealVision, etc). Firms like Citadel and Millennium cut sweet deals w/ vendors and PMs have all the toys / tools in the world as well as entire back-offices to do their data-analysis / factor-analysis biddings.
(14) Risk of course includes whether the platform can scale, ban hammer from regulators, $SNX native platform risk (one do wonder what if a few managers are really good, $SNX stakers get hosed), etc. But then again ~45 mm USD FDV is really not a lot. Good luck to the team!
(15) Other features include but are not limited to free / paid-for content native on $DHT by managers (updates, trade ideas, live Q&A, etc), data analytics bundled and charged for a fee ("what are the smart guys doing?"), bidding / better sorting or filter for managers, etc.
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(0) While the progress of L2 is on-going, I think another area within #DeFi is highly interesting today and remains slightly underexplored by buidlers and speculators / investors alike – tools & modularization add-ons ($GRT, $Gauntlet, $KP3R, $GYSR)
(1) In this thread I will give 2 types of directions I see today – (a) B2B type buidler tools like $GRT and $Gauntlet, and (b) process-streamlining / modularization tools like $GYSR and $KP3R. This is not endorsement by any sorts but merely highlighting what’s cool out there.
(2) B2B tools by definition service the buidler community to help them buidl better – and there are 2 areas one can find particularly visible that’s almost blockchain / web3 native: one is faster retrieval of standardized on-chain data, and other being simulation of all sorts.
(0) I’ve been quiet for a while but that’s because the Web3 space today is in serious #buidl mode and I don’t have much to say. Some preliminary thoughts on gov, #DeFi, and CBDC after the past 2-3 months; as usual if I have more time, it’d be more coherent and shorter.
(1) Only users that contribute to network effect of protocol deserves to be rewarded. The pure value provided by a good service (for non-network-effect biz) is good enough for most users, giving them more value-capture is dilutive to protocol value. Most users don’t deserve shit.
(2) Control is needed to retain flexibility in times of shock / need for intervention. #DeFi apps before maturity are not L1/L2 where decentralization is foundational feature. To quote Bo @ Dragonfly, Web2 apps are trains where adjustments to carts & passengers are constant…
Hot $UNI takes
- Initial reaction is dump $UNI into your favorite token across (long best DEFI coins)
- 2nd reaction is long ETH as alts take-profit + buy to farm $UNI.
- 3rd reaction is ETH based farms likely higher yield given ETH goes to $UNI pool (percent & pickle to name 2)
- 4th reaction WBTC getting love w/ $UNI pool = BTC onchain up = accelerated pull from exchange to ETH, bullish $BTC
- 5th reaction new projs launching could weak book build (like $DHT) but could moon post listing w/ profits from factors above.
- 6th reaction is arbs will be everywhere ($AAVE migration, basis trades, etc) due to fund capital constraints. Free money for those w/ capital
- 7th reaction is gas fee is gonna moon, long L2 tokens + gas token as derivative play. Spare stablecoins will get ridic borrow fees
0 - As popularly requested, this will be a thread about $NXM. The token design of $NXM is one of the most elegant I have seen yet. Enough good work had been done by @krugman25, @Darrenlautf, @BatmanDeFi on bonding curves and core mechanics so I won’t repeat here.
1 - $NXM = equity tranche of an Insurance group; despite the “mutual” tag, given buyers of insurance doesn’t need to own $NXM today, feels more like a typical insurance biz. At capital pool of 160-165k ETH and mkt cap of ~900-950k ETH, $NXM InsureCo trades at 5.5-6.0x PB.
2 - 1st thing most need to realize is that $NXM is in persistent ICO / capital raise mode unless (market cap – 3 mm * px) / capital pool <1 (i.e. not raising money when this InsureCo trades below book), which is also coincidentally when MCR % < 100%.
0 - As per popularly requested & at risk of repetition, here is my framework on $YFI. A lot of good work done by @DefiGod1, @im_manderson, and @learn2yearn already. I will try on a higher-level flesh out what all the hype is all about. If I have higher IQ, it'd be shorter.
1 – At its very core, @AndreCronjeTech built a platform to pool capital (such that fixed cost / tx minimized & rotational speed to highest return opp. maximized) and automatically allocate into protocols to maximize delta-neutral (i.e. non-directional) profits
2 – whatever such yield / profit is higher than outright lending to likes of COMP / AAVE, the premium fundamentally comes from (a) speculative capital supporting token inflation emission on various protocols and (b) speculative capital levering up to chase more gains
0 – As per popularly requested, here’s my preliminary thoughts on the $LEND / $AAVE 2.0 tokeneconomics restructuring, with the #’s based on @The3D_ ‘s proposal at governance.aave.com/t/initial-disc…
1 – In the new token model, $AAVE effectively becomes the “equity tranche” of a co-operative bank, enjoying net interest margin of balance sheet & any add’l fees + taking 1st loss upon default, whereby depositors / capital-providers get to enjoy part of the $AAVE equity issuance.
2 – In this framework, assuming 50% of $AAVE is staked (6.5 mm), then this “bank’s initial book value tops ~200 mm USD, with today ~500 mm as deposits on liability side of the balance sheet + ~100 mm on the asset side as “yield-generating”: aavewatch.now.sh