Tweet

Robert Gehrke

16 Nov, 7 tweets, 3 min read

So I’d spent a lot of time focusing on the CD4 race, trying to figure out how it was that Burgess Owens pulled off this win in CD4.

As I wrote last week the precincts where turnout was below-average and in some instances below 2018 levels were McAdams precincts. But … #utpol

… I had somehow overlooked this truly shocking statistic.

Owens only got 67% of the vote in Utah Co. More than 6% worse than Mia Love did there two years ago. But look at the NUMBER of votes they got there …

Love: 23,432
Owens: 38,216

That’s a 63% increase. #utpol

That is unreal. McAdams got the same percentage in Utah Co as he did in 2018.

But the number of votes cast in the 4th District in Utah Co increased by 78%.

Seventy. Eight. Percent.

Salt Lake County saw a 33% increase in number of votes. #utpol

Another way to look at it … in 2018, Utah Co. votes accounted for less than 12% of the ballots cast, compared to 85% for SLCo. This year, they accounted for more than 15%, compared to 82% in SLCO.

May not seem like much, but that raises the pressure to perform in SLCo. #utpol

And when, as I mentioned at the start, Dem precincts in SLCo don’t turn out at the same rate as the GOP precincts in the south valley … Well, that’s how you lose by a couple thousand votes.

Credit to the Republicans, esp. in Utah Co. for getting people out. #utpol

Oh hey. A couple additional points …

McAdams outperformed BIden in the 4th District portion of SLCO. Before today’s votes (which weren’t a lot) he had about 158,000 votes to Biden’s 150,000.

Wilson and Ghorbani both did worse than Biden countywide. #utpol

Owens underperformed Trump in the 4th District portion of SLCo, 147,000 for Trump to 130,000 for Owens.

Obviously Trump won Utah Co portion easily and won the district. But seems like there weren’t Biden coattails for Ben, and there were Trump coattails for Owens. #utpol

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

More from @RobertGehrke

Robert Gehrke

@RobertGehrke

16 Nov

@UtahDepOfHealth

Here is the Monday Covid update from @UtahDepOfHealth

🌡 1,971 new cases, 155,779 total
😔 5 new deaths, 723 total
🏥 503 currently hospitalized, up 19 from yesterday
🧪 9,523 people tested, 20.7% positive rate
📈 7-day avg: 2,949 cases/day, 24.26% positive rate.

@UtahDepOfHealth

@UtahDepOfHealth Happy to report, for the first time in a long time, this is NOT a new Monday record, down 276 from last week. Number of tests also up from last week, positivity down (but still too high).

We did set a new record for the week in deaths at 62. #utpol

Here is the info on those five Utahns who died:

• Box Elder male, age 65-84
• SLCo male, 45-64
• SLCo male, 85+
• Utah Co female, 65-84
• Wash Co female, 85+
#utpol

Read 5 tweets

Robert Gehrke

@RobertGehrke

15 Nov

Here is the Sunday Covid update.

🌡 2,667 new cases, 153,808 total
😔 8 new deaths, 718 total
🏥 484 currently hospitalized, down 3from yesterday
🧪 10,485 people tested, 25.4% positive rate
7-day avg: 2,985 cases/day, 24.34% positive rate.
#utpol

Referral ICUs are 88.8% full. All ICUs at 85% capacity.

Here is the info on the eight dead.

I’ll add more later. #utpol

Finishing up the thread after the Lions failed to lose to Alex Smith.

Today was yet another record for a Sunday. Had 21,187 cases in the past week and 59 deaths. That’s more cases in a week than we had all of July and the first week of August.

Trends still going up. #utpol

Read 4 tweets

Robert Gehrke

@RobertGehrke

14 Nov

Here is the Saturday Covid update (keep in mind some if this is from yesterday.
🌡 5,352 new cases, (~1300 from yday) 151,141 total
😔 9 new deaths, 710 total
🏥 487 currently hospitalized, up 14 from yesterday
🧪 17,544 people tested, 30.1% positive rate

#utpol

The positive rate is inflated due to the addition of yesterday’s cases. Avg of two days is 3751/day, 1,4850 tests/day and 24% positive rate.

7-day avg is 2,957 cases/day, 23,6% positive rate.

Here is the info on the nine dead. #utpol

We have a record number of patients in the hospital (487). 184 are in ICU. Referral ICUs are 89% full, overall the ICUs are at 85.6% capacity.

Here is the hospital snapshot, epidemic trend and the test positivity chart. #utpol

Read 4 tweets

Robert Gehrke

@RobertGehrke

14 Nov

UPDATE: Salt Lake County just updated its count in the CD4 race and Owens’ lead is now 2,095

Owens: 176,866
McAdams: 174,771

Over.
#utpol

Also, Laurie Stringham over passed Councilwoman Shireen Ghorbani. #utpol

Rep. Jim Dunnigan and Rep. Steve Eliason’s leads also have grown. #utpol

Read 4 tweets

Robert Gehrke

@RobertGehrke

7 Aug

@sltrib

So you mighta seen the news yesterday that the @sltrib editor, @jnpearce had resigned.

It came as a real shock. And I wanted to take a little time to process it before I posted. So I did that and then I had a few drinks, so here goes ….

Let’s start here … I wasn’t sold on Jennifer when she took the job. I liked her very much and knew she was very capable. But her background was mainly radio, not print. And I didn’t know what to expect.

On top of that, I loved Terry Orme, and hated the way he was treated.

I got over that pretty quickly. It didn’t take long to understand her smarts her skill and her love for news won me over.

It was a VERY hard job, trying to not just keep the broken down old jalopy running but rebuild it on the fly into a racecar. She handled it remarkably well.

Read 13 tweets

Robert Gehrke

@RobertGehrke

17 Jul

I think this is really interesting.

This chart shows the 7-day rolling average of new cases in Salt Lake County (red) and rest of the state (gray). The mask mandate went into effect June 25. #utpol

Spokesman for SLCo Health: "In recent days, Salt Lake County cases have been a lower share of the state’s total cases; while we used to consistently be 45–50% of the state’s cases, we are now around 35% most days.” (Today they were 26%) … more … #utpol

SLCo spox continued: "We don’t have data that shows face coverings are the definitive reason for our recent improvement (as compared to other interventions like social distancing), but it’s certainly possible the face covering requirement is having a positive effect …” #utpol

Read 6 tweets

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!