Taniel Profile picture
17 Nov, 4 tweets, 2 min read
Is anyone aware of a publication that's tracking the results of the NY election? AP page I use is broken for NY; the NYT has the Republican's lead in #NY22 8 times wider than it is now from @JRosenblattTV's reporting & tweets; & the state BoE page is somehow even further behind.
Besides problems in the actual running of the election, the lack of transparency around so many things in New York's elections are astounding. Compare CA & AK's constantly updating communication about exaclty how many ballots are left, with whatever the New York BoE is up to.
I believe New York is also the only state where I've been asked by election offices to file FOIL requests when I've reached out with the extremely basic but somehow opaque question of who were all the candidates who'd filed in a local election & would be on the ballot.
Oh! Here's an example.

The NY BoE is so behind it has GOPer Dunne up by 8000 votes (+6%). NYT count is behind enough it has Dunne leading.

Meanwhile, Newsday's updated count has Dem. Senator Kevin Thomas ahead.

And Dunne just conceded!

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More from @Taniel

16 Nov
Big news in Virginia.

You may recall the Portsmouth police filed felony charges vs a black state Senator, an NAACP leader, & public defenders over participation in protests. They also targeted the reform prosecutor to sideline her.

All those charges now dropped by prosecutors.
This is part of a long history of this sort of assault on black political leadership in Portsmouth, this great @virginianpilot article found in the summer, so keep watching: pilotonline.com/government/loc…
Next up: Portsmouth is voting for its prosecutor in 2021.

The incumbent, Morales, is among the local officials who were targeted by police. (A judge ruled against police effort to sideline her last month.) All happened shortly after she did this in July:
Read 4 tweets
16 Nov
North Carolina’s state BoE says today that Washington Co. double reported its mail ballots & will be formally correcting its canvass tomorrow. This will net hundreds of votes to Newby (=the Republican who trails by 35 votes out of 5.3 million before this).
And the BoE flags a 2nd previously unknown change to come tomorrow: reddish Robeson, on top of roughly 700 provisionals (that batch we knew of), will report 1951 ballots from an early voting site.

That’s 2 big things coming, in Supreme Court race with big civil rights stakes.
OK, so: Here is breakdown of the 1951 early-voting ballots left out in Robeson (h/t @andyinrok): carolinaelections.com/votetracker/ge…

54% of ballots are from registered Dems. But here many Dems vote GOP. (County's EV/absentee was 58% Dem: went Beasley +8, Trump +7.) 70% Native American.
Read 4 tweets
16 Nov
‼️ Dems have seized a 17-vote (!) lead in Alaska's HD17 with the count of mail-in ballots, which (if it holds post-canvass & recount) may end up denying the GOP legislative control & an overall trifecta in this state!
It'd depend on whether a few GOP defectors keep defecting.

It may also depend on if there's more to count in #HD15, where the count of mail-in ballots (just in) have left the Dem candidate 91 votes behind. (We'll know shortly if there's more.)
Correction: The first tweet should say HD27, not HD17. (Thanks @ChazNuttycombe.) [And HD40 is a 3rd & at this point likely final district whose winner is up-in-the-air, but no new ballots counted there in days.]
Read 4 tweets
16 Nov
It's urgently time to look ahead: over the next 6 weeks, there are at least 3 big runoffs (other than U.S. Senate races we all know about!).

—the DA race in New Orleans
—the DA race in Athens
—a race for the Public Service Commission in GA

A brief thread on why you should care.
1️⃣ Outgoing New Orleans DA has been exceedingly punitive, vowed to put more children in jail, & more.

The race to replace him has fueled big grassroots energy, & (very varying) reform promises from candidates. See below (Landrum & Williams in runoff). theappeal.org/politicalrepor…
2️⃣ DA race in Athens almost didn't take place: Gov. Kemp tried cancelling it & leave an acting DA in place till 2022. (theappeal.org/politicalrepor…)

But a reform candidate (Deborah Gonzalez) won in court, & race back on. She & a reform-skeptic candidate made runoff (over acting DA).
Read 5 tweets
13 Nov
💥Cheri Beasley, North Carolina's Democratic Chief Justice, has taken the lead! By... 281 votes right now.

Boards convening today & counting mail & provisional ballots; more remains. Beasley's 1st lead since EN at least.

Big stakes for civil rights: theappeal.org/politicalrepor…
I believe Durham has now reported all its remaining mail-in ballots, which is what swung the lead. And I'll add that it wouldn't have been unreasonable for Beasley to expect to net more votes from this batch. Very much up in the air here.
Beasley now leads by 672 votes.

That's a lead of 0.01% statewide, practically a landslide.

Orange County just reported its remaining mail-in ballots as well, which has lifted her. (Again tho, she netted a bit less than she may have been expected.) Mail all done in the Triangle.
Read 27 tweets
10 Nov
they're setting the stage for years of new restrictive laws in states they run, justified under the false pretense of fraud, & bolstered by an even friendlier SCOTUS.
This is what happened after 2016, when Trump made stuff up with specific relentlessness about his loss in New Hampshire, paving the way for the GOP state government to change voting rules: wbur.org/news/2019/11/0…
It's also the relentless playbook. Kansas adopted a law that put the registrations of 30,000 Kansas in limbo.

Forced to justify the law in court, Kobach managed to point to allegations that covered 11 ineligible voters since 2000. Used to keep tens of thousands away.
Read 4 tweets

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