THREAD ON REPUBLICAN GOVS AND NEW MASKING RULES: Last night, Iowa's Kim Reynolds became another Rep. Gov to go from "never" to "now" masking rules since Biden won. Rep. Iowa, N. Dakota, W. Virginia, Utah, etc. recently changed course to mandatory mask mandates. Some thoughts 1/
It is not too late. Never too late. The desire to blame or think it is too little is not productive. From the beginning, without national guidance, it was govs who would have to lead the masking mandate during this Articles of Confederation response. 2/
In our push to get masking and social distancing requirements one state at at time, the single major determinative factor was not the scope of infection, but the Governor's party affiliation. Data proved it. On the "one damn state at a time" effort⬇️. 3/
The change in strategy by these Republican governors comes, of course, as this pandemic is out of control. The numbers speak for themselves. But it also comes at a time when the question of masking can no longer be seen as a loyalty test to a President on his way out. 4/
This is where Trump's anti-mask rhetoric was so damaging. It wasn't just anti science and caused deaths, or even violence. By politicizing masking requirements, he turned the necessity of mask mandates into a partisan fidelity issue during an election year. 5/
The further proof that this is just partisan positioning, and not based on some notion of "freedom", is that these Republican governors are not facing any backlash from their Republican state legislatures. Compare to what Dem govs are facing. 6/
If you are new here, I don't do anger or rage. You be you. We need these govs to convince holdouts -- South Dakota -- to change course. We need them to increase social distancing rules. We need them to work on vaccine distribution plans. We need them to work with new Pres. 7/
This is, in way we define "good" during a pandemic, good news. Until we get more stringent national guidelines related to federal activities or covering activity with federal nexus, this is state by state defense. And the more Republican governors join the ranks, the better. 8/8
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THREAD: Today is activation day in public safety for Election Day. None of this is normal; most of it planned for. All good (enuf) so far. An incident does not make a war. Below thread I explained last week. Here is what you should expect for this one. 1/
Activations have stated of all major emergency operations centers, fusion centers and National Guard (if not done already). All that means is that we are prepositioning folks, no leave allowed, begin public presence, and get ready to ratchet up. 2/
Intel is not screaming trouble leading up to 11/3, Trump's language not particularly different than usual crap. Interesting silence in many areas which is good (some intel from white supremacist groups suggests they are standing down due to public safety positioning) 3/
Pro-tip: As public safety sets up command posts, National Guard deploys, cities board up, Walmart hides ammunition (!), language like this from Trump is what intel folks will be looking at and hoping more for. 1/
It's all madness, yes. But Trump is a master of language, of inciting without saying so. So, it will be interesting to see if this new language -- a man musing that he is better off leaving -- is repeated throughout weekend. It lowers the temperature 2/
and creates a narrative he can live with (and that's all that matters to him, right?). He still is using language of incitement, but it is tempered by the "drive away" stuff. His cabinet with access to means -- Barr, Wolf, Esper -- seem absent. So that's what to look for. 3/
Thread on preparing for potential local violence on Election Day. The purpose of this is to tell you all what to expect in days ahead; sometimes we are not transparent enough on planning and preparedness and what it looks like. This may be long. But hopefully helpful. 1/
There are three domestic based threats for in person voting on November 3rd: vote suppression, the pandemic, and threats or fears of violence (which is intended to suppress). Then there are foreign threats. All a headache and mess, yes. Each different in terms of preparation.2/
I realize how little those in public safety or public officials (or those who advise them) are disclosing the basic planning efforts going on. That's a shame because it is leading to unnecessary panic or may lead to panic when the plans are put in place. 3/
Be aware of the "perception hack:" an intrusion that is "intended to leave the impression that foreign powers have greater access to the voting system than they really do." @julianbarnes@SangerNYT@nicoleperlroth 1/
As described here, these aren't terribly sophisticated or likely disruptive attacks but they are the the "mess with our heads" aspect of information warfare.
It may be the penetration is not solely of state and local election systems but may include other critical infrastructure, such as an electrical grid. This is "voting infrastructure" and the intell community had warned of this in 11/09 as described:
How does this happen logistically? How did they operationally screw up like this? An immoral policy, yes. But implementation was also beyond excuse because an easy data fix could have solved the inevitable issue of reunification. A brief history. 1/
Customs and Border Protection at DHS documents unlawful immigrants in a database. It has different screens depending on status of detainee. One such screen was "unaccompanied minor" so an agent could put in data about those (mostly teen boys) who showed up WITHOUT A PARENT! 2/
There was no screen for separated families b/c it wasn't done, so the children were inputed as unaccompanied minors. See where this is going? That meant that there was no data entry for who the parent was, their status, identifiers, country of origin, etc., of the child/baby. 3/
THREAD ON VACCINES: The National Governors Association -- representing all of them -- has serious questions about logistics of vaccination distribution. Trump answers only that "military" will do it. And gov guidelines issued earlier were not specific. 1/ governor.ny.gov/news/national-…
I advise some of these offices. Money, of course, is always an issue but it goes beyond money. Let's assume, first, there is a vaccine. An assumption: pray for it, but plan otherwise (i.e. #wearadamnmask). If there is one, supply chain and logistics criteria are essential. 2/
These include important factors such as vaccine viability, ultracold storage, and prioritization when supply is short (or comes in waves, which it will). It also includes what sort of leeway states will be granted to administer their own criteria. 3/