THREAD: Today is activation day in public safety for Election Day. None of this is normal; most of it planned for. All good (enuf) so far. An incident does not make a war. Below thread I explained last week. Here is what you should expect for this one. 1/
Activations have stated of all major emergency operations centers, fusion centers and National Guard (if not done already). All that means is that we are prepositioning folks, no leave allowed, begin public presence, and get ready to ratchet up. 2/
Intel is not screaming trouble leading up to 11/3, Trump's language not particularly different than usual crap. Interesting silence in many areas which is good (some intel from white supremacist groups suggests they are standing down due to public safety positioning) 3/
Most of these activations are recommended to be 5 days; if you do too short then extend them, it can get tricky administratively. We can always close them out early, so don't think much that they go through week. 4/
I suspect another 8-10 National Guard activations by Tuesday am but honestly a lot more quiet than anticipated over weekend. We focus on Trump and some troublesome incidents, but from the perspective of a free time, a crazed Trump and divided nation, it was a good Sunday.5/
That areas are being prepared for mass arrests is not a reflection of the threat. We are in a pandemic; it is tricky and we need to protect everyone. Should there be peaceful protests even, but with arrests, COVID is still a threat so safety footprint is bigger than normal. 6/
Anyway, 5 days. No evidence I'm hearing from people on ground -- despite concerns otherwise -- of secret federal presence waiting to lurch. But folks worried, I get it. Every major city is likely activated by 10 pm tonight, with focus on 10pm forward tomorrow night. 7/
Lots of consistency across parties and country. We can focus on outliers, but most police presence will be well outside voting areas, military presence only there to support if they need surge capacity, and most areas speak well of local federal coordination. 8/
That's what I know. Been working with cities/states on planning since late summer. I hope this doesn't stress people out. I get it. None of this is normal, but most of it planned for.
Now #vote and lets pay unnecessary police overtime! 9/9

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More from @juliettekayyem

31 Oct
Pro-tip: As public safety sets up command posts, National Guard deploys, cities board up, Walmart hides ammunition (!), language like this from Trump is what intel folks will be looking at and hoping more for. 1/
It's all madness, yes. But Trump is a master of language, of inciting without saying so. So, it will be interesting to see if this new language -- a man musing that he is better off leaving -- is repeated throughout weekend. It lowers the temperature 2/
and creates a narrative he can live with (and that's all that matters to him, right?). He still is using language of incitement, but it is tempered by the "drive away" stuff. His cabinet with access to means -- Barr, Wolf, Esper -- seem absent. So that's what to look for. 3/
Read 5 tweets
25 Oct
Thread on preparing for potential local violence on Election Day. The purpose of this is to tell you all what to expect in days ahead; sometimes we are not transparent enough on planning and preparedness and what it looks like. This may be long. But hopefully helpful. 1/
There are three domestic based threats for in person voting on November 3rd: vote suppression, the pandemic, and threats or fears of violence (which is intended to suppress). Then there are foreign threats. All a headache and mess, yes. Each different in terms of preparation.2/
I realize how little those in public safety or public officials (or those who advise them) are disclosing the basic planning efforts going on. That's a shame because it is leading to unnecessary panic or may lead to panic when the plans are put in place. 3/
Read 17 tweets
22 Oct
Be aware of the "perception hack:" an intrusion that is "intended to leave the impression that foreign powers have greater access to the voting system than they really do."
@julianbarnes @SangerNYT @nicoleperlroth 1/
As described here, these aren't terribly sophisticated or likely disruptive attacks but they are the the "mess with our heads" aspect of information warfare.


2/
It may be the penetration is not solely of state and local election systems but may include other critical infrastructure, such as an electrical grid. This is "voting infrastructure" and the intell community had warned of this in 11/09 as described:

3/3
Read 4 tweets
21 Oct
". . . it was screams."

How does this happen logistically? How did they operationally screw up like this? An immoral policy, yes. But implementation was also beyond excuse because an easy data fix could have solved the inevitable issue of reunification. A brief history. 1/
Customs and Border Protection at DHS documents unlawful immigrants in a database. It has different screens depending on status of detainee. One such screen was "unaccompanied minor" so an agent could put in data about those (mostly teen boys) who showed up WITHOUT A PARENT! 2/
There was no screen for separated families b/c it wasn't done, so the children were inputed as unaccompanied minors. See where this is going? That meant that there was no data entry for who the parent was, their status, identifiers, country of origin, etc., of the child/baby. 3/
Read 6 tweets
19 Oct
THREAD ON VACCINES: The National Governors Association -- representing all of them -- has serious questions about logistics of vaccination distribution. Trump answers only that "military" will do it. And gov guidelines issued earlier were not specific. 1/
governor.ny.gov/news/national-…
I advise some of these offices. Money, of course, is always an issue but it goes beyond money. Let's assume, first, there is a vaccine. An assumption: pray for it, but plan otherwise (i.e. #wearadamnmask). If there is one, supply chain and logistics criteria are essential. 2/
These include important factors such as vaccine viability, ultracold storage, and prioritization when supply is short (or comes in waves, which it will). It also includes what sort of leeway states will be granted to administer their own criteria. 3/
Read 8 tweets
14 Oct
When history about floor dropping on Trump these last 2 weeks is written, this 21 seconds from debate -- with Biden assist -- was beginning. 21 seconds. #VOTE

1:04:46 TRUMP
Sure, I’m prepared to do it. I would say- I would say, almost everything I see is from the left-wing 1/
not from the right wing-
1:04:55 WALLACE
So what do you, what do you say-
1:04:56 TRUMP
I'm willing to do anything I want to see peace.
1:04:57 WALLACE
Then do it, sir.
1:04:59 BIDEN
Say it, do it, say it.

2/
1:05:00 TRUMP
You want to call them -- What do you want to call them? Give me a name, give me --
1:05:04 WALLACE
White supremacists and, white supremacists and right-wing --
1:05:07 BIDEN
The Proud Boys.

3/
Read 4 tweets

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