Playbook: The year-end cliff

THERE ARE NO CONVERSATIONS right now about another round of Covid relief. None. The White House is silent. The Hill is quiet. That means no new programs, no new money for Americans before the holiday season.
BUT EQUALLY NOTABLY, a number of crucial provisions expire at the end of this year, which is 44 DAYS from now:
THE PANDEMIC EMERGENCY UNEMPLOYMENT COMPENSATION, which gives 13 weeks of extra UI to those who have run out of options, ends. … THE PANDEMIC UNEMPLOYMENT ASSISTANCE -- used by gig workers -- runs out. …
THE EVICTION MORATORIUM ends. … STATE AND LOCAL funding stops flowing. … 2020 REBATE CHECKS end, as does STUDENT LOAN forbearance. … SMALL BUSINESS debt relief ends. … CHARITABLE DEDUCTION LIMITS expire. … THE EXCLUSION of employer payments of student loans stops. …
THE REFUNDABLE TAX CREDIT for required paid sick leave runs out. …THE CREDIT for family and sick leave for self-employed individuals ends. … THE PAYMENT DELAY for employer payroll taxes ends. … CHANGES on net operating losses end. 33 TAX PROVISIONS end at the close of the yr
IN OTHER WORDS, a huge safety net for Americans is going to be yanked away at the end of 2020, and Congress isn’t preparing much of anything to keep people from plummeting.

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More from @JakeSherman

18 Nov
PELOSI *hates* questions about her future. but she answered @GarrettHaake when he asked about whether she will commit to her term-limit promise from last Congress.

I will tweet her full quote here in this thread
@GarrettHaake “When that conversation took place, there was a move to put limits on the leadership and the chairs of committees. they said they were going to do it but didnt do it. but i said then ... what i said then is whether it passes or not i will abide by those limits that are there"
@GarrettHaake >@GarrettHaake then asked if that comment was shermanesque. and Pelosi said:

"It's a statement that i made. it's a statement that i made. listen, if my husband is listening, dont let me have to be more specific than taht because we never expected to have another term now. ...
Read 4 tweets
18 Nov
Playbook this morning: Is Trump done being president?

DONALD TRUMP is out of public view, exacting revenge on his political enemies, ranting about a stolen election and risking allies on Capitol Hill, who are starting to concede that he has lost.
-- HE HAS HARDLY made a public appearance since losing the election. He has nothing on his public schedule today.

-- HE CANCELED his Thanksgiving trip to Mar-a-Lago. cnn.com/2020/11/17/pol…

-- HE FIRED a DHS official who said the election was safe and secure.
-- HE HAS FIRED the Defense secretary, and sidelined the CIA director.

-- HE AND HIS ADMINISTRATION are hardly engaged with Congress on the issues of the day -- including new measures to fight the pandemic.

-- HIS ADMINISTRATION is not closer to allowing BIDEN to transition
Read 5 tweets
17 Nov
In Playbook this AM: WHAT CEDRIC RICHMOND GIVES JOE BIDEN … ONE THING we have heard a lot about President-elect @joebiden is that he knows Congress better than anyone, and is uniquely qualified to work the broken system that is Washington legislating.
BUT CONSIDER THIS: Nearly 200 members of Congress never worked with BIDEN as VP or during his 36 years in the Senate.
BIDEN’S decision to hire @RepRichmond as a White House senior adviser charged with public engagement gives the 46th president a key link to a Congress and the new brand of Capitol Hill politics that has developed in his four years out of office.
Read 9 tweets
16 Nov
Playbook: AND CONGRESS IS BACK ...

It’s House leadership election week in the Capitol, which means we’ll find out who is ascendant in the Democratic and Republican leaderships, and who will spend the next two years grumbling.
THE TOPS OF BOTH PARTIES are all but set: @SpeakerPelosi will lead House Democrats, and @GOPLeader will lead House Republicans. But there are open Qs: how many Dems vote against PELOSI, whether any dope will raise their hand to launch a half-cocked attempt to take PELOSI out.
THE TWO ELECTIONS are truly a tale of two parties: Democrats are holding their election virtually, and Republicans are holding theirs in person, Tuesday from 1 p.m. to 5 p.m. That’s right. Four hours. Mask deniers.
Read 7 tweets
10 Nov
Playbook: "The last gasp of Trumpism"
PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP is bending the federal bureaucracy to his benefit. Senate Republicans are taking his side. The attorney general has authorized prosecutors to probe election irregularities -- a hugely controversial move, considering there is no evidence of irregularities.
>@sendavidperdue and @KLoeffler called on the R Georgia secretary of state to resign after TRUMP lost the state. Even in statehouses around the country, Rs are investigating the election: Rs in PA, are calling for an audit, and in Lansing, they have subpoenaed election officials.
Read 8 tweets
9 Nov
Playbook

HAPPY MONDAY MORNING. TODAY marks the beginning of the post-TRUMP era in American politics. To the extent that he still has political currency, it dwindles every day as Jan. 20, 2021 draws closer.
Members of his own party are already suggesting his time is up. His staff is looking for new jobs. Markets are looking up, and analysts say it’s because of the expected calm in U.S. politics. In the U.K., govt officials are now saying TRUMP era was not good for them
AROUND THE WORLD and at home, TRUMP has been written off.

NOW WE MUST ALL SHIFT OUR THINKING to what the future looks like. Let’s focus this morning on Senate Republicans, who have the largest number of moving pieces.
Read 11 tweets

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