Julie Young Profile picture
17 Nov, 20 tweets, 3 min read
$SE Q3 earnings call recap:

(STOP ASKING ME IF I SLEPT THROUGH MY ALARM, DO U HAVE NO FAITH IN ME i'm slow at typing πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚)
:) TLDR - nothing too eventful, stock is mostly flat.

Total GAAP rev was $1.2 billion, up 99% YoY (close to expectations)
EPS -0.69 vs expected -0.55
Adj EBITDA $120.4mm (positive due to Garena)

they raised full year 2020 guidance for Shopee and Garena πŸŽ‰
Garena (mostly Free Fire):
- bookings was $944.7mm, up 110% YoY
- GAAP revenue was $618.7mm
- QAU was 572.4mm, up 78% YoY
- QPU was 65.3mm, up 124% YoY
Shopee:
- GAAP revenue was $618.7mm, up 173% YoY
- Gross orders was 741.6mm, up 131% YoY
- GMV was $9.3 bil, up 103% YoY
SeaMoney:
- $2.1 bil in TPV
- 17.8mm QPU of the mobile wallet
- in Oct 2020, more than 30% (!!!!) of TOTAL gross orders on Shopee were paid for using mobile wallet
$SE continues to tell a story of balancing Garena's strong revenue + positive EBITDA with the larger potential upside of making investments to expand Shopee and SeaMoney
Garena's rev + increase in QPA was probably the biggest "surprise" today. Free Fire was the highest grossing mobile game in LATAM + SEA.
As usual, $SE mgmt attributed Garena's strong performance to their ability to create localized content and experiences (ex: playable characters based on specific local celebrities).
IMO, creating localized content like this is one of the most important areas of development bc it is indicative of Free Fire becoming less of a game and more of a platform.

In line with this idea, mgmt also talked about how they introduced more social and community features -
for example: within Free Fire, they released a space where players can meet + hang out socially. 1 in 4 players spent time there every day on average (!!).

IMO, this is pretty amazing - a sign of a digital future with monetization opps that we might not fully understand yet $SE
also noteworthy:

the launch of Fantasy Town, a farming sim game that also has a lot of local content (ex: Indonesian landmarks). "We’re not focused on monetization per se for these games, but more on understanding our users' preferences with respect to different types of games."
With respect to Shopee/ecomm, $SE reported strong growth overall. the app was (again) number 1 in SEA for downloads, MAU, and time spent on Android (App Annie).

On a global level, it was second most downloaded app in shopping.
$SE mgmt continued to relay the importance of investing in Shopee + SeaMoney NOW as COVID presents a "golden time" to drive growth: "[monetization] comes very naturally. If you look at it, we didn’t even try that hard, it just comes naturally when the business scales."
one of the most interesting parts of the $SE call was that Shopee Live recorded 48mm hours watched in Q3, and sellers have continued to use it to drive user engagement

This is important bc it distinguishes Shopee from some of the more traditional ecomm players out there
Personally, I think these more thoughtful social product features (both within Shopee and within Garena) are what's going to give them a lasting competitive edge going forward, even though they currently seem somewhat insignificant
when asked about Shopee increase in revenue, mgmt alluded to this being driven by "high margin" items: txn-based fees and ads

they also mentioned value-added services (ex: less sophisticated sellers can pay higher fees to have Shopee manage the ad bidding + banner placement)
with respect to the staying power of any bumps in growth attributed mostly to COVID, $SE mgmt again said they're seeing stickiness of digital economy adoption in places where covid restrictions have been lifted (although they didn't provide a ton of specifics here)
SeaMoney is still a tiny business, but it is seeing impressive early growth. i'm *fairly certain* $SE has only previously reported "paid for on Shopee with wallet" numbers for Indo, so it is cool that today they reported high penetration numbers for TOTAL orders
anyways that's all! happy to be a long-term investor in this biz and looking forward to listening to future earnings calls 😎😎😎😎

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More from @juliey4

16 Nov
yeee $SE Q3 earnings tomorrow at 4:30am PT (lol). i'm planning to listen/live-tweet again! Not much to report here with respect to pre-earnings thoughts:
I think we will see Free Fire continue to do incredibly well. It was the third most downloaded mobile game in September globally (per sensor tower), and geopolitical tension in India with Chinese publishers could further prop it up in Q3. we may see some Q's from analysts
about how they monetize / if it's sustainable to do so.
Read 7 tweets
10 Nov
$BYND Q3 2020 earnings recap!

I have been a shareholder since IPO day and it is one of my favorite companies. i am planning to hold for an additional 9 years min 😎

they missed on rev today which sent stock down ~22% after hours

i am expecting it to continue to be v volatile
These were the major forces that affected the decrease:

(1) covid stockpiling in Q2 - ppl buying $BYND products and leaving them in the freezer (I know personally that my fiance and i did exactly this lol)
(2) covid menu streamlining among QSRs - lead to fewer $BYND options
There were many Q's about the McPlant fiasco. It sounds like investor relations / comms did not communicate well. It is still unclear what $BYND's role is here, but Ethan made it clear that it was heading in the right direction. He said he couldn't really speak for $MCD.
Read 4 tweets
10 Aug
Some interesting moments from the $MELI Q2 earnings call this morning. Mercado Libre was founded in 1999 and continues to operate one of the largest ecomm platforms across South America -->
They have been testing a new take rate structure across a few test countries. The goal is to better match fees with the economics of different categories, which will hopefully drive more merchants to want to list.
$MELI is raising take rates on categories where merchants have higher margins, and lowering them on categories where merchants have lower margins - but overall, they are trying to do this in a way that is neutral against the overall system.
Read 15 tweets
7 Aug
since I covered $FSLY's earnings call yesterday, I wanted to also cover $NET's today. recap of Cloudflare's Q2 -->
$100mm rev, up 48% YOY
Large customers up 60+% YOY
Have 16% of Fortune 1000, up 13% since Q1
Stock currently ~flat after hours
Substantially grew large customer accounts (accounts greater than 100k annualized rev), big increase due to covid
Mkt cap ~$12.5 bil (vs $FSLY ~$9bil)
They were concerned about customer concessions going into Covid-19. But it turns out that concessions peaked in early April and ultimately came in well below forecasts. They feel they have clear vis into the pandemic's effect on biz, and they are raising Q3 and annual guidance
Read 27 tweets
5 Aug
which one to live tweet in 30 mins 🧐
fastly it is --->
they did $75mm in revenue, up 62% YOY

(The guidance for $74.5 million in third-quarter revenue is essentially flat from the June quarter's $75 million.)
Read 41 tweets
30 Jul
live tweeting the @STcom interview with $SE founder/CEO Forrest Li here 😎
Q: why did you decide to focus on SE esia?

forrest: i followed my wife here. and then i met a lot of friends here and that's how we got started
Q: tell us about the early days

FL: we didn't have an easy start, and it was right after the global financial crisis. we talked to a lot of VCs in SV, but they said they will only invest in a company they can drive to in 30 minutes.
Read 45 tweets

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