1/ It’s near impossible for a product to create a new desire in customers all by itself. No single product creates a market.
Multiple environmental, political, economic, social, and technological factors come together to delicately and gradually shape what customers desire.
2/ That collective process, which is beyond any single company, creates an opening for new products to address evolved customer expectations.
The million dollar question is: how do you discover these evolving trends?
3/ The best way to discover these unambiguous market trends is to look for instances where customers are innovating by themselves by modifying or re-imagining existing products.
4/ Innovative customers have guided entrepreneurs throughout history - from lugging big stereo systems which led to the inspiration for portable music players to scooting their cars off the paved road which led to the inspiration for SUVs.
5/ Researching why customers are doing what they’re doing can provide deep insights into their desires. Maybe not all people want cars to satisfy their desire to go from point A to point B.
Maybe some want cars to satisfy their adventure desire?
7/ Another way to discover good business opportunities is to take the latest innovations in technology and imagine how can such innovations offer a radically better solution for existing customer desires.
8/ When Salesforce launched its cloud-based CRM in 1999, the CRM industry was well-established with offerings from IT giants who offered their CRM software on-premise (i.e. businesses had to build their own data servers and purchase servers to install and host CRM software)
9/ What Marc Benioff cleverly observed was that the dot com boom of the 1990s meant that software access could now be provided over the Internet. Benioff took the cloud boom that was driven by online consumer retail, and applied it to business software.
10/ Note that Salesforce didn’t create the desire for CRM – managing customer database is a human need as old as businesses existed. What they did was to take upcoming technology and apply it to serve the same customer need in a cheaper, better and faster way.
11/ In short: think of which existing human desires can be better fulfilled by currently emerging technology and you have a good business opportunity.
12/ It’s risky to get excited about an idea first and then go about researching the market.
The excitement for an idea will cloud your judgment and inevitably lead you to find confirmatory evidence for it while rejecting all the contradicting evidence.
13/ Remember: following your passion is usually a terrible business advice.
14/ Therefore, rather than starting with an idea and then doing research, it’s much better to start with a blank slate and start observing customer behavior and trends.
Sooner or later, you’ll find yourself full of bright ideas that are derived from actual customer behavior.
15/ Such market-first ideas have a much higher success odds than product-first ideas which may or may not address an unfilled customer desire.
16/ So, always ⚽ shoot for market-product fit, not product-market fit.
1/ It’s important to clearly distinguish between what people desire and how they fulfill them.
Our desires usually remain the same, but methods of fulfillment keep changing.
2/ For example, the desire to have good oral hygiene can be fulfilled in multiple ways: toothbrushes, mouth wash, or even crunchy foods like carrots that help clean mouth as we chew on them.
1/ You create value when you fulfill the unmet desires of people better than the alternatives they have (from competitors).
2/ The idea that capitalism rewards things that are rare and valuable was proposed by @ScottAdamsSays in his essay on career advice where he recommended readers to master various skills until no one else has the mix that you have.
So I spent my Sunday evening training a neural network to generate 🎥 movie plots, and the results are...
Intriguing and hilarious.
Read on for examples.
1/ Movie plot involving 👽 ALIENS:
"Aliens land in the California coast to find a way to fight against the machines."
"Aliens land on Earth, kidnap young people, make some money selling drugs and end up in the desert where they live."
2/ "Aliens land in our city and kidnap people to keep them in it. Their leader is an alcoholic cop, and the people of the city try to get him into custody and take revenge."
"Aliens land on earth and the moon in pursuit of an extraterrestrial scientist"
Then there is this horror movie with an interesting plot
Two assassins-for-hire have an hour to kill before their next hit. To help pass the time, they entertain themselves by sharing horror stories to one another.
2/ Whenever we try understanding the world around us – be it our customers’ behavior, or how stars circle the center of a galaxy, or how coronavirus affects the human body – we never have direct and full access to the underlying reality.