South Dakota
68,671 cases
Pop: 885,000
HIGH test +ve %; i.e. not nearly enough testing
I'd be surprised if catching >1 in 5 cases
If so, does 68,671 => 343,000 cases?
And if so... 39% infected...is SD nearing Herd Immunity?
Should serosurvey much of SD to understand if so.
68,671 cases
Pop: 885,000
HIGH test +ve %; i.e. not nearly enough testing
I'd be surprised if catching >1 in 5 cases
If so, does 68,671 => 343,000 cases?
And if so... 39% infected...is SD nearing Herd Immunity?
Should serosurvey much of SD to understand if so.
Note: It's tough to know what the true detection rate is. Is it 1 in 2, 1 in 5, 1 in 8 detected?
We don't know for sure.
Either way... SD has a LOT of it's pop infected.
Since it's one of highest per capita states, will be imprtnt to monitor this state
We don't know for sure.
Either way... SD has a LOT of it's pop infected.
Since it's one of highest per capita states, will be imprtnt to monitor this state
And no - I am NOT suggesting herd immunity as an option. I'm simply stating the numbers up there and suggesting that we monitor to better understand what has and what will happen.
To clarify: it’s probably a lower bound of about 20% infected (that’s if detecting 1 infection for every 2.5 infections - That would be REALLY high detection rates).
I don’t see a 20%-50% range infected as out of the question at all.
Unfortunately coming w massive suffering
I don’t see a 20%-50% range infected as out of the question at all.
Unfortunately coming w massive suffering
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