You listen to @ValerieJarrett & frankly, she sounds naive.

Jarret: The Prez is contributing to conspiracy theories that are undermining confidence in the election.

These are the people who make it into the room where it happens w Biden.
2. I'd love to find out that some time in Biden's inner circle there has been a briefing & real-time following of the 3+ month plan that Trump, Barr, and McDaniel have executed, piece by piece. I've documented it in real-time. Certainly, it's possible they pretend to be naive
3. to it in public. But no one in Biden's orbit, including @ValerieJarrett , but certainly not limited to her, seem to appreciate the extent to which the Republican Party is willing to go here. They aren't having a tantrum. They aren't placating Trump. They are willing to take
4. this as far as it can go. I know that sounds alarmist, but literally every single thing I said they'd do (the GOP) they've done and none of it was stuff people thought they'd do. I think Trump is fine w pushing this all the way to violence. And he is not playing a supporting
5. role- he is the main character. He has been doing things for months to set this power grab up. We really need to see media, analysts, pundist, becoming much more aggressive in their assessments of Trump and McConnell's behavior.

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More from @RachelBitecofer

22 Nov
1. NO!!!

This race was lost in the same way ALL the down-ballot races that lacked VERY high college educ &/or diversity rates (AZ + CO are neg partisanship realigners- I always told you those were locks, but ME was about Indies ballot splitting) & they did there but DIDN'T in NC
2. and BC the wrong damn campaign strategy was run in BOTH ME & NC, they both came up short. What should have happened? A nationalized messaging strategy that tied Collins/Tillis to Trump-like an albatross & made the decision to vote for Collins/Trump tied to supporting Trump.
3. As I tried in vain to impress upon these two campaigns- the @dccc (via @DNC @DNCWarRoom) is just plain WRONG about its electioneering approach. In 2018, the party underperformed their potential wave size by not understanding their coalitional realignments well enough
Read 15 tweets
22 Nov
1. I assume McConnell et al have given up on being challenged, let alone exposed by the Ds, for the stuff he's done in the Senate.

It's the only explanation for the brazenness of his actions, his aggressive douchebaggery. I know I handicap Ds for political stuff- he must too.
2. We watch the same movie. Liberals, the media, Ds, all love the narrative that Rs are unwitting victims, caught up in this shit show with no choice but to toe the line or become Trump's next victim. It's a comforting narrative- which is why its by far the prevailing one.
3. Its comforting bc if congressional Rs are just hapless victims, caught up in this terrible 4-year show, that means that when the show ends, and thank the good lord we now know it's going to have an end on Jan. 20th, at high noon, when a ceremony will deliver the oath of office
Read 15 tweets
21 Nov
1. Watching this rally footage from progressive Ds, who are rightly asking/pushing for Biden to stay committed to the issues/platform he ran on. The ideologically liberal part of the Dem base grew disaffected w @BarackObama when he failed to deliver on his promises. And the
2. crucial mistake that mainstream Democrats make is the assumption that rank-and-file Ds and liberals (bc often, the most active elements of the party's grassroots orgs are people who ID as Indies (left-leaning!) who are far more liberal than your average Dem. This is 1 of the
3. ways that Indies are most misunderstood (other than how few of them are actually "persuadable" or "swing" voters- about 12% of the overall electorate) the most misunderstood aspect of Indies is they are all moderates. That moderation makes one Indie. Often, people dealign from
Read 43 tweets
21 Nov
1. I totally get the rationale behind the trust-building exercises for @JoeBiden proposed by @FrankFigliuzzi1- but as he goes on to acknowledge, any such effort has to be accompanied w a defanging of the right-wing media ecosystem despite few tools that can survive constitutional
2. challenge- and we will likely see the heart of that 6-3 majority defend it as zealously as they've defended the 22nd Amendment- using logical fallacies & other disingenuous techniques to stave off the most modest of reforms. That said, I think progress can be made on the
3. Trump 40% of the electorate. Looking forward to having the capability to put some ideas I have to the test here soon.

These are times for innovative thinking- but the most imp thing is to start w a clear-eyed picture of the extent of the issue- which frankly, I don't think
Read 4 tweets
20 Nov
1. We need a full court press against the @GOP @GOPChairwoman @senatemajldr @GOPLeader state party leaders in state legs & state party chairs- go blow up their phones & emails & tell them America is a democracy & the only fraud is the one Trump is pulling over Republican voters
2. hide the fact that he lost by more than 82,000 votes in PA, 20,000 in WI, & 155,000+ in MI. By the c way folks- that's it. That's the ball game. That's why my forecast said Ds were gonna win. After the party's performance in these states in the 2018 midterms affirmed my theory
3. I knew what would happen there, as soon as I heard it I started (during EW in TX) the Ds were screwing themselves by suspending doors permanently. I knew the effect size, roundabouts, on that. I expected it would shave off a point or two off their vote shares. But silly me,
Read 12 tweets
20 Nov
1. Yes, @kurtbardella is hitting the nail on the head. The alt & completely kooky media system we have now- the robustness of the 1st Amendment- its killing us. A sentence I never thought I'd write. And this is why the divide is education. The issue is that its predatory now.
2. Fear is big business. VERY big. And the American electorate is a good target due to low civic literacy. The media environment is a major mechanism of polarization & hyperpartisanship. And the formation of alt realities- that is all driven by media. As I've discussed in other
3. Places, the internet democracized information but it also opened societies like ours up to attacks. The Rights effort to create a conservative space ended up creating the mechanism that came to eat the Rep. Party. People need to understand that they might not realize it but
Read 4 tweets

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