Eli Profile picture
20 Nov, 14 tweets, 2 min read
The fact that it's up to the governor to “ascertain” who the state's electors are is a weak link in this whole process, at least in Georgia.
But in, say, Michigan, it's a very good thing right now
Best case this is nothing, worst case Kemp wants to steal our state's electoral votes. If he tries someone should sue immediately
If the Electoral College came down to Georgia it might be different, but considering it doesn't, my best guess is that Kemp will declare Biden's slate as the correct slate of electors. But hard to say for sure.
You can watch Kemp's press conference on GPB or on his official Facebook page. gpb.org/events/news/20…
Kemp is now speaking…
Can't tell which direction this is going…
Kemp notes the audit did not look at signatures…
Kemp calls on Raffensperger to audit the absentee envelopes (without matching them to ballots) and backs photo ID for absentees
Kemp is now getting to the results
Kemp notes certification gives Trump the opportunity to seek recourse through a recount, which implies he will not be stealing the election here
And it's over.
Okay, here's what I think we just saw. Kemp is signaling that:
1) he thinks Trump's lies about fraud are legitimate, but despite this,
2) he will not unilaterally award the state's electors to Trump.

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More from @elium2

20 Nov
DeKalb County, Ga. update 11/20 at 12:13:12 p.m. EST – 95 additional mail absentee ballots

Trump 4
Biden 87
Jorgensen 2
Under votes 2

Net: Biden +83

The statewide margin is now Biden +12,670.
This should be it before certification I think?
Okay, apparently they've certified, so presumably it is indeed nytimes.com/live/2020/11/2…
Read 13 tweets
20 Nov
Floyd County update 11/20 at 09:24:41 a.m. EST – 3,076 new ballots

Trump 2,003
Biden 1,036
Jorgensen 21
Undervotes 14
Write-ins 2

Net: Trump +967

This is more votes than were expected based on media/SoS reports. Biden's statewide margin drops to 12,587.
Details of the update in Floyd County, Ga.

Early voting: Trump +2,066 | Biden +1,014 | Jorgensen +21
Provisionals: Trump -63 | Biden +22 | Jorgensen +0

This is kind of strange!
Looking at the precinct details, no candidate lost votes in any precinct overall, so I imagine there were some mail absentees that had been misclassified as provisionals. Or…maybe they were really provisionals and *now* they're being misclassified. Can't say which.
Read 4 tweets
20 Nov
Yikes, photo ID for absentees would (as he surely knows) lead to significant suppression.
Also there’s not much point to a photo ID if you can’t see the person you’re trying to identify.
Would it be better than signature match? Uh, maybe, I’d need to think about that more. But if it would require the use of a printer, then absolutely not.
Read 7 tweets
20 Nov
Digging into the audit detail file and wow there’s a ton of information. For example: In Bryan County’s early votes, Biden did best in the first few days and on Saturday the 24th.
Bulloch County EV results by location

Annex 61.2% Trump, 37.5% Biden
GSU 49.95% Trump, 47.95% Biden
Honey Bowen 71.2% Trump, 26.5% Biden
Cherokee County UOCAVA results: 151 Trump, 218 Biden
Read 24 tweets
20 Nov
Georgia audit results are out. Biden won the hand count by 12,284 votes. sos.ga.gov/index.php/elec…
Did Appling find an additional memory card?
I didn’t mention it (except in response to detailed questions) because it was so few raw votes but Appling did indeed appear to be missing a couple dozen votes in its certified results
Read 12 tweets
19 Nov
I would note that while this idea has been a non-starter so far, the longer Trump keeps it up, the more you might see legislators wavering.
Even if it doesn't work it's appalling and dangerous
I'm still skeptical that it works to be clear
Read 6 tweets

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