Thread by @HEDanielClark

Two weeks into Lockdown 2, and the highest number of weekly coronavirus cases confirmed in the last seven days across Devon and Cornwall has been recorded – but most areas are now seeing cases fall (and this week includes the weird Saturday where everything was double)

More than 2,000 new coronavirus cases have been confirmed in the last seven days across the two counties, taking the total since the beginning of the pandemic to 15,982.

Cases has risen everywhere, except for Torbay and West Devon, but when looking at cases by specimen date rather than reported date, only North Devon is seeing a rise - with five areas seeing a flat trend, and five areas seeing cases drop

Government statistics show that 2,367 new cases have been confirmed across the region in the past seven days in both pillar 1 data from tests carried out by the NHS and pillar 2 data from commercial partners, compared to 2,068 new cases confirmed last week.

Of the 2,367 new cases confirmed since November 13, 478 were in Cornwall, 244 in East Devon, 220 in Exeter, 79 in Mid Devon, 170 in North Devon, 597 in Plymouth, 89 in the South Hams, 108 in Teignbridge, 263 in Torbay, 66 in Torridge and 53 in West Devon.

This compares to the 2,068 new cases confirmed between Nov 6-12, with 440 in Cornwall, with 217 in East Devon, 189 in Exeter, 67 in Mid Devon, 108 in North Devon, 496 in Plymouth, 73 in the South Hams, 100 in Teignbridge, 270 in Torbay, 52 in Torridge and 56 in West Devon.

Of the 2,367 new cases, 1,539 had a specimen date between November 13 and 19, with 320 in Cornwall, 172 in East Devon, 153 in Exeter, 61 in Mid Devon, 103 in North Devon, 349 in Plymouth, 51 in South Hams, 65 in Teignbridge, 182 in Torbay, 50 in Torridge and 33 in West Devon.

Despite more new cases being confirmed this week, by specimen date, cases have fallen, and graphs by specimen date show cases are only rising in North Devon - there was more backdated cases confirmed this week, it would appear

In Cornwall, Exeter, Mid Devon, South Hams and Teignbridge, cases are fairly flat, while they are currently decreasing in East Devon, Plymouth, Torridge, Torbay and West Devon.

Specimen date charts for South Hams, Teignbridge, Torridge and West Devon

And for East Devon, Exeter, Mid Devon and North Devon

And for Cornwall, Plymouth, Torbay, and the Devon County Council area

The number of people in hospital in the South West has risen to 942 from 759, although has only risen by six in the last two days, while there are currently 65 patients in mechanical ventilation beds, up from 58 as of last Friday.

NHS England figures show that as of Tuesday morning, there were 265 patients across Devon and Cornwall, in hospital after a positive Covid-19 test, with 106 in the Royal Devon and Exeter (up from 69), 90 in Derriford Hospital (76), 18 in North Devon Hospital (down from 19),

39 in Torbay Hospital (down from 43), four in Cornish Partnership Trust hospitals (3), six at the Royal Cornwall Hospital (4), and two beds in Livewell SouthWest facilities in Plymouth (4) taken up with patients after a positive Covid-19 test.

There are 19 patients in Mechanical Ventilation beds, up from 18, with one patient in Torbay Hospital, three at the RD&E, eight in Derriford Hospital, and seven in North Devon District Hospital, with none in Cornwall.

NHS 111 data for Devon is down slightly up from last Friday, but Cornwall has nearly halved and is at the lowest level since August 14. The R-Rate for the South West fallen to 1.0-1.3 from 1.2-1.4.

In total, Torridge has had 308 positive cases, West Devon 347, with 542 in the South Hams, 597 in Mid Devon, 709 in North Devon, 861, in Teignbridge, 1301 in East Devon, 1773 in Torbay, 2428 in Exeter, 3436 in Cornwall and the Isles of Scilly, and 3680 in Plymouth.

The total though has only risen by 1,911 for Devon and Cornwall, as Monday's figures saw a total of -204 new cases after a series of cases confirmed since September were reassigned to other local authorities due to issues with PHE's recording methods

It comes as Steve Brown, Devon’s Director of Public Health has issued a new plea to residents, saying: “There is cause for optimism, without doubt. The challenge to us all – my plea to you – is that we do not let our enthusiasm to return to normal actually set us further back.”

In terms of the latest MSOA cluster maps, that cover the period of specimen dates between Nov 9 and Nov 15, Kingsand, Antony & Maryfield (65), Bude and Stratton (34), Callington and Pensilva (28), Exmouth Littleham (27), Ottery St Mary and West Hill (24), Exmouth Brixington (20),

Pennsylvania and University (38), Wonford and St Loyes (30), St Leonard’s (23), Braunton (26), Mannamead and Hartley (46), Keyham (27), Deer Park & Leigham (27), Millbay and Stonehouse (27), Lipson (25), Ford & Blockhouse Park (24), Mutley (24), Ham, Beacon Park & Pennycross (22)

Tamerton Foilot (20), Devonport, Mount Wise & Morice Town (20), Plymstock Hooe & Oreston (20), Brixham Town (35), Shiphay and the Willows (29), Wellswood (27), Paignton Central (23), Higher Brixham (22) and Blatchombe and Blagdon (20) are the areas reporting clusters of 20

Bradnich, Silverton and Thorverton, and Tiverton North and Outer (8), Ivybridge (17), Kingskerswell, Kingsteignton and Chudleigh and Bovey Tracey (9), Holsworthy, Bradworthy & Welcombe (14), and Tavistock (11) are the worst hit areas in the other districts.

Usual caveats about only reported cases apply. Last 4 days have seen 4 of 5 lowest totals in November reported, so cases are going down. Would expect to see this continue next week if the lockdown is working as hoped

Weekly coronavirus cases recorded in Devon and Cornwall reaches new high - but cases are beginning to fall
devonlive.com/news/devon-new…

Saturday's figures see 194 new coronavirus cases confirmed in Devon and Cornwall. 46 in Cornwall, 18 in East Devon, 29 in Exeter, 14 in Mid Devon, 10 in North Devon, 39 in Plymouth, 4 in South Hams, 5 in Teignbridge, 18 in Torbay, 6 in Torridge and 5 in West Devon

The 194 is the lowest confirmed daily figures since October 26 (and the first that begins with a 1 since then), and well down on the 730 from last Saturday. Downward trend of newly confirmed cases continues (and you'd expect it carry on falling until mid December)

Sunday's figures show 213 new coronavirus cases confirmed in Devon and Cornwall. 43 in Cornwall, 24 in East Devon, 19 in Exeter, 8 in Mid Devon, 16 in North Devon, 50 in Plymouth, 9 in South Hams, 9 in Teignbridge, 21 in Torbay, 5 in Torridge, 9 in West Devon

Number is slightly up on yesterday, but down by a third on last Sunday's number, and is the third lowest total recorded in November, so things are still moving in the right direction, and that's now 8 days in a row the total was lower than the same day in the previous week

A quick note on clusters as well - now coveting Nov 11-17 - nine extra areas are now in the 0-2 range as were yesterday. And with Nov 10 removed, Kingsand, Antony & Maryfield goes from the highest in the region (64 cases) to just six cases. Mannamead & Hartley (40) now 'top'