@nachkari The internet is about scale economics. So it's not about finding high roic, but about finding acceptable roic that persists for a long time.
@nachkari The best management teams have essentially no training outside of talking to customers. Competitive strategy is of limited value for entrepreneurs creating new markets.
@nachkari Distribution is always more important than content. Credit to Thiel.
@nachkari Demand is always more important than supply for replicable goods. Credit to Gurley.
@nachkari Buying higher is lower risk when youre betting on intangible assets.
@nachkari Lower churn allows mature businesses to grow faster and more efficiently than younger peers spending relatively more on marketing.
@nachkari Outliers drive investment success. When you hear a pitch that exceeds the comprehension of your current framework, stop what you are doing and work on that idea.
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Learnings from Thomas Watson / IBM of the 1920s. Scary how good business models & practices repeat throughout time. Watson himself learned from John Patterson of National Cash Register, improving on the few weaknesses he noticed at NCR. 1/5
Watson leased equipment creating recurring revenue + competitive barrier to entry, turning a customer's large, upfront capital expense into a small, recurring operating expense. He combined that with a razor / razor blade model. 2/5
Watson built the business FOR key stakeholders; customer success=salesperson success, & shareholder returns were a natural byproduct. He sold an outcome, not a product, & employed a consultative selling model, providing a continuous customer feedback loop & thus captivity. 3/5
Reinvestment opportunity is the last criteria I consider, probably spend the least time understanding, yet is the most important in determining investment outcome.
Viewing the investment funnel like this, my excuse=each of the 5 filters above reinvestment need to exist before reinvestment can be evaluated. For most companies, you never get past filter #2 or #3, thus spend least time thinking about most important determinant of success.
Maybe we can invert this & make it useful:
If you are a PM & have 20 pre screened ideas presented to you from your 5 highly competent analysts, start your own analysis of this opportunity set at the bottom of the funnel, not the top, and work your way backwards.
... if assume social media & digital distribution had always existed, how might the above models & comparisons be different? If social drives old content (eg back catalogs), pretty sure it changes monetization model for games, music & news?
The old media consumption paradigm looked liked this: