@nachkari The internet is about scale economics. So it's not about finding high roic, but about finding acceptable roic that persists for a long time.
@nachkari The best management teams have essentially no training outside of talking to customers. Competitive strategy is of limited value for entrepreneurs creating new markets.
@nachkari Distribution is always more important than content. Credit to Thiel.
@nachkari Demand is always more important than supply for replicable goods. Credit to Gurley.
@nachkari Buying higher is lower risk when youre betting on intangible assets.
@nachkari Lower churn allows mature businesses to grow faster and more efficiently than younger peers spending relatively more on marketing.
@nachkari Outliers drive investment success. When you hear a pitch that exceeds the comprehension of your current framework, stop what you are doing and work on that idea.

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More from @BluegrassCap

10 May
Learnings from Thomas Watson / IBM of the 1920s. Scary how good business models & practices repeat throughout time. Watson himself learned from John Patterson of National Cash Register, improving on the few weaknesses he noticed at NCR. 1/5
Watson leased equipment creating recurring revenue + competitive barrier to entry, turning a customer's large, upfront capital expense into a small, recurring operating expense. He combined that with a razor / razor blade model. 2/5 Image
Watson built the business FOR key stakeholders; customer success=salesperson success, & shareholder returns were a natural byproduct. He sold an outcome, not a product, & employed a consultative selling model, providing a continuous customer feedback loop & thus captivity. 3/5 Image
Read 6 tweets
3 May
What were your biggest takeaways from Berkshire's annual meeting?
Buffett on the Louisiana Purchase; ”Don’t sell the mineral rights.”
on the FDIC effectively being a mutual insurance company; is there an example of a US government backed entity demutualizing? (the mortgage GSEs?)
Read 7 tweets
29 Feb
Reinvestment opportunity is the last criteria I consider, probably spend the least time understanding, yet is the most important in determining investment outcome.
Viewing the investment funnel like this, my excuse=each of the 5 filters above reinvestment need to exist before reinvestment can be evaluated. For most companies, you never get past filter #2 or #3, thus spend least time thinking about most important determinant of success.
Maybe we can invert this & make it useful:

If you are a PM & have 20 pre screened ideas presented to you from your 5 highly competent analysts, start your own analysis of this opportunity set at the bottom of the funnel, not the top, and work your way backwards.
Read 4 tweets
3 Dec 19
At present, is there a better commercial storage solution for renewable energy sources than this?
"Hydro storage currently dominates total
installed storage power capacity, with 96% of the total gigawatts installed globally in mid-2017."

Its all dams... batteries arent even on the radar yet. irena.org/-/media/Files/…
An introduction to the state of energy storage in the U.S. yaleclimateconnections.org/2019/12/an-int…
Read 6 tweets
21 Nov 19
Content & revenue models by media type...
... if assume social media & digital distribution had always existed, how might the above models & comparisons be different? If social drives old content (eg back catalogs), pretty sure it changes monetization model for games, music & news?
The old media consumption paradigm looked liked this:
Read 6 tweets
14 Oct 19
WEN = 1st restaurant franchisor Ive seen say publicly they will roll out dark kitchens on top of their existing footprint (from their investor day)
related WEN slide
Hard to argue delivery & digital ordering are not highly incremental & valuable to WEN
Read 6 tweets

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