Thread by @ulleryatintell

I was curious about voter party turnout in PA, but I'm waiting on a Monday certification deadline. While I'm waiting, I thought I'd take a look at precinct-level data in Philadelphia. There's about 1.12 million registered voters and about 740,000 votes cast in this election

There's about 1,700 voting precincts in the city, with an average turnout of about 65.5%. Highest turnout at a single precinct was 88%, in a precinct at the 21st Ward in northwest Philadelphia.

Philadelphia is a heavily democratic city, with only about 16 precincts having more GOP than DEM voters. That lead is very narrow though, with GOP voters at most having a 15 percentage point lead on Democratic voters (as % of total voters by precinct)

This map is probably a better representation of party control by precinct. It's the same data, we've just set our color bar limits to -50% to 50%. Many precincts in Philadelphia are almost entirely made up of Democrats.

Trump managed to secure about three wards in the city, and we can see the precincts those wards fell in here. For the most part, Trump took precincts where either Republicans led or were just barely led by Democrats.

The state's voter export has been updated at least once since the election, but we don't have the full breakdown of how every voter voted yet. We do, however, know whether or not all but about 30,000 voters cast a ballot.

We'll probably get a fully updated export once the deadline to certify election results passes on Monday. Last Monday's update suggests something I think is really fascinating. Republicans might have had a greater showing at the polls than democrats in some precincts.

In fact, about 24% of precincts appeared to have seen more Republicans voting than Democrats. That could change as we get more data on the voters not currently updated in the export, but I'm very curious to see how it holds up.

This map is only the precincts that Biden won in the 2020 election. So, even in districts that saw high voter turnout overall, and may have seen high Republican turnout in general, Trump couldn't seem to carry those voters.

What I find so interesting about this is that after all of the legal challenges and allusions of voter fraud and some coupe by liberals, Trump's loss even in Democratic strongholds might be more due to Republican voters.

As always, data is analyzed using @PythonPr @matplotlib @geopandas in a @ProjectJupyter notebook. @threadreaderapp Unroll please.