A thread - Does timing your SIPs work?

They work best when you don't try to time and fiddle with them.

Example 1: Stoping SIP and restarting when markets stabilise

Stopped SIP in March
Did this work?
No: 2.93 lk vs 1.93 lk
Missed opportunity - 1 lk (Savings + Returns)
1/6
Example 2: Starting new SIP only after markets stabilise

Postponed SIP investments after March fall.
Did this work?
No: 90 k invested is worth 1.03 lk
Missed opportunity - 1.03 lk (Savings + Returns)

2/6
One would say these examples look good since markets have bounced back sharply.

Correct, in hindsight this looks good. But, if we go back in history, equity markets have always come out of crisis sharply. And SIPs continued during crisis have recovered even faster.

3/6
As long as we are investing for reasonable period of years and practice patience, SIPs haven't disappointed.

Their rupee cost averaging has helped in delivering better returns than market. Most importantly during low return phases.

4/6
Simply put...

SIP isn't a magic wand, you have to take efforts to make it work.

What Efforts?

- Never stop them during falling market, they work best during such periods

- Never try to time SIPs, the effort is worthless. They are designed assuming we can't time the market
5/6
Had written this piece sometime back in April, worth revisiting it again.

What 25yrs history teaches us about SIPs.
edelweissmf.com/know-us/employ…

6/6

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More from @avasthiniranjan

9 Aug
Ten simple golden rules of equity investing. An insightful collection from Aberdeen.

This pretty much sums up everything about investing in less than 500 words.
Rule 1 - Demand fair treatment of shareholders
Rule 2 - Be mindful that companies are about people, not assets.
Read 11 tweets
3 Aug
There's no one right approach to investing that suits everyone, but there's surely one right approach for you. Figure that out, test it and stick to it.

Create your comfort zone which helps you stay calm across different market cycles and stay committed to it.

1/9
One approach in which I have found my comfort zone with and have been following since many years is a 80:20 approach.

80% equity and 20% cash/debt.

When equity falls more than 5% or 10%, I refill it using the cash/debt.

2/9
When equity is rising and going beyond 80% I let it grow (I never time the exit but only entry into equities) and keep investing incremental money in cash/debt so that equity exposure comes down without exiting and disturbing the compounding.

3/9
Read 10 tweets
17 Jul
2004.. I was a part-time off roll employee at a bank, selling loan products. I used to work after my college during 2nd half of the day.

One day my manager kicked me out, I was late to join one campaign as I got stuck at college.
I literally cried when he sacked me and only after I pleaded, he allowed me to join back again.

But I felt terrible for the way I was treated, may be because I was just an off roll employee. Moving out of the building that day I was dejected, but learned some important lessons.
2 years later I was hired as a manager by this bank. On its rolls this time. My eyes were moist, and I was feeling proud when I entered the same building.

A few years later, I went on to head a function at a group company of the same bank.
Read 5 tweets
27 Feb
Why invest in emerging tech companies?

Technology is nothing new to us.
We have seen how technological inventions have changed the mankind over centuries.

3 biggest technological inventions by mankind..

Steam engine - 1700 it changed the way people travelled.
Electricity - 1879 - it changed the way we live and work

Internet - 1960 - it changed everything

What are the next big revolutions ??

There are many..

Artificial intelligence
Autonomus and electric cars
Cloud computing
Digitisation
They are changing the way we do everything
At the beginning of 1900 virtually no one had driven a car, made a phone call, used an electric light, heard recorded music, or seen a movie; no one had flown in an aircraft, listened to the radio,watched TV, used a computer, sent an e-mail, or used a smartphone.
Read 14 tweets
15 Feb
@EdelweissAMC US Technology Equity FOF invests in JP Morgan US Tech Fund which has strong and consistent performance track record. bit.ly/ustechnfo

It has consistently outperformed its peer group and index in last 10 years.
It has generated over 6% excess returns over peer group average and over 2% over its category index.

Strong performance comes from the strength of JP morgan investment team to identify emerging tech companies in their early stage and ride over their growth.
The fund invests in technologies that are in early adoption stage or are being rapidly adopted.

Essentially it tries to capture the disruption trend early. Below is the technology adoption S curve which shows the life cycle of the product and themes which the fund is focusing
Read 11 tweets
14 Feb
One frequently asked question on Edelweiss US Tech FoF bit.ly/ustechnfo

How is the underlying Fund - JP Morgan US tech fund different from Nasdaq 100 Index?

Strategy-
Nasdaq 100 includes top 100 non-financial cos listed on Nasdaq. A diversified index.

1/2
JPM US Tech Fund is a thematic fund that invests only in Technology companies that are disrupting old generation technologies.

These are technologies that are being adopted rapidly by consumers. (eg. Online streaming, cloud computing, autonomous cars, Artificial Intelligence)
Sectoral allocation-
Nasdaq 100:
Technology - 55%
Consumer Discretion - 24%
Healthcare - 7%
Telecommunications - 7%
Consumer staples - 5%

This is a diversified index with high allocation to Technology. Just like in India we have allocation to Finance in our indices.
Read 11 tweets

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