imagine you're a powerful hedge fund owner, powerful enough to count a Chancellor of the Exchequer as former employee.
But your daily job of counting the billions is not fullfilling enough.
you want to do good.
not by moving your hedge fund from an offshore haven so you pay proper taxes, but by helping those in need, your way.
Philanthropy, you believe, is far more effective than government interventions, because you have control over it.
so you set up a hedge fund that doubles down as NGO in the Global South.
you choose your target underprivileged group carefully, those glossy brochures need the right smiles to melt down philanthropic hearts.
you even donate some of your billions to the NGO you control, that knighthood wont earn itself.
but knighthood is peanuts, what those billions gain you is ACCESS.
access to UN organisations, access to capitals in the Global South, and presto, you're a development powerbroker
so when COVID19 hits, and poor countries must choose whether to pay bondholders or prop up health system, you whisper in their ears: market access..
when poor countries contemplate applying to Debt Service Suspension Initiative, you whisper in their ear: market access...
when other NGOs/CSOs call for debt relief, your billions-powered charity take the opposite view, that debt relief endangers market access
market access is not simply about poor governments borrowing from global investors.
It's about a developmental model predicated on partnership with global finance for achieving the SDG.
It's about derisking as new governance mode: state derisks for its private finance partners
your charity allows you to shape that conversation, and push for the derisking state.
No wonder you're an early ESG/TCF convert: those regulatory risks wont take care of themselves
this isnt a Le Care novel. it's a real illustration of how NGOs/CSOs can be an outpost of private finance in development circles, a literal take on Billions to Trillions or Maximising Development for Finance.
fascinating Sintra @ecb Forum for insights into where the DSGE world is moving
- Fiscal strikes back (though not formally)
- we're all into average higher inflation targeting
- r* (natural rate of interest) is now so close to ZLB that QE for ever
who said that academics dont have superpowers?
and we're back to the 1990s, greetings from Alan Greenspan.
good morning to @EBRD who illustrates their 'neutral' position in the 'Empire strikes back vs 'The Return of the Jedi' takes on state with, literally, a 'Nanny State'
seriously, this is the least effort ever put into pretending you're not in the neoliberal 'shrink the state' camp ever .
Literally announcing it on the cover.
Not surprising though for long-term observers of the EBRD
'Decarbonising is easy' once you drop market neutrality:
new policy paper setting out what next after @ecb@Lagarde and @Isabel_Schnabel accepted 'market neutrality' means subsidising carbon intensive companies.
Goldman Sachs/Credit Suisse 2018 repo loans to Ecuador can easily fall under 'predatory lending' to poor countries. Not to exonerate Moreno government, but:
If you're a private institution, you take out repo loan to finance assets, say government bonds you previously purchased.
you 'sell' your government bonds to GS, agree to repurchase them later.
trick - you remain economic owner of government bond collateral & get interest payments from said government.
because you retain credit risk, your repo lender GS has to do collateral management.
w balance sheets: you, Investor 1, have pledged your Ecuador government bonds as collateral to GS, who's given you USD 90 cash for USD 100 of Ecuador government bonds. Haircut 10%.
Ecuador government bonds stay on your balance sheet (assets) because you remain economic owner.