Came out perfect though... sous vide for 45 mins at 135 F, daub dry and stick in the fridge for 10 mins, then sear for 45 sec in a skillet
Two normal bottles, and one adorable tiny 150mL one, per person
The Terra de Cuques- which I promise I did not buy as a bit because of the name- is actually a crazily good white, whole-cluster dry Pedro Ximénes, rich and intense without being super heavy or unduly alcoholic. Also like $35 a bottle to boot, basically free.
If I may be permitted one more broke wine geek post before I return to ludicrously expensive old Rhones, the winemaker here is Eben Sadie, who makes an equally good line of South African old vine varietal wines, though sadly those have now been priced up to $100+/bt here. Sad!
What if, instead of pumpkin pie or whatever, dessert was just some foie gras with apple purée, sour cherry pan sauce, and challah sticks? Also: what if I wasn’t too drunk to plate things!
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CHAPOOOOOOO!
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It's been a while since I've done one of these, but on paper many of you are following me (why?) because of quant finance tweets, so let me do a rambling stream-of-consciousness apologia for the most hated "model" in finance, the Black-Scholes model.
Specifically, the idea of IV. Like "imaginary numbers", it's an unfortunate misnomer, because it makes people think there must be *some* link between IV and historical vol. This is not the case. A better term might be something like "σ-price" vs. "$-price": it's a price.
Option prices trend in predictable ways: a near-term option will always be cheaper than a long-term one, simply because the long-term one includes the near term one. Similarly, ITM options are always more expensive than OTM options, because they contain the OTM option as well.
1. Quick THREAD on using the Kelly fraction to optimally size positions in your portfolio, just like Ed Thorpe did in the 1970's (1/N):
Don't do it, you colossal idiot. It's not the 1970's, and you're not Ed Thorpe. (N/N)
Since this joke got popular, the actual explanation: The style of trades Thorp specialized in, convert arbs, have an ex-ante quantifiable E[R] that is reasonably accurate, which means your Kelly estimates are ~ right. Other asset classes and strategies do not have this property.
GE was, without a doubt, the greatest single-name equity short of all time. A chronically mismanaged serial earnings manipulator with unlimited GC borrow, liquid entry/exit, zero squeeze or takeout risk, and 20+ years of 14% annualized underperformance w/o drawups? Incredible.
"Wow thanks for the idea to short a massive, inefficient conglomerate with cheap borrow, artificially smoothed numbers, and a halo effect from a famous CEO completely unjustified by recent performance 20 years too late Q, there's no way we can replicate that trade again"
🎶One of these things is not like the others/One of these things just doesn't belong/an you tell which thing is not like the others/By the time I finish my song?🎶
As a eminent Man Of The People, I am enjoying a fine draught of the working man’s drink, “beer”, as I do regularly. Will report further as events develop.
This tastes like a spoiled bottle of Chateau Musar 1997- I mean, I am of course enjoying this “barrel-aged sour with spices”?
I have beat a strategic retreat back to the arms of 2006 Dönnhoff Oberhäuser Brücke Riesling Auslese as my aperitif, pairing, and dessert wine all in one.
In a desperate, sad attempt to recapture even a moment of normalcy, I have acquired good takeout sushi and will be serving omakase to myself, and then posting it here.
We’ll start with a 2008 base Egly-Ouriet Blanc de Noirs Grand Cru. Easily my fave champagne to decant.
Ahhhh, how long it’s been, I don’t even remember half these names; gone like tears in the rain. First is... Red snapper? Then sea bream and something else I can’t identify. Then a mix of yellowtail and yellowtail belly, and then two sea trouts (my favorite)
Tuna and ikura, and then a break from the monotonous, inevitable march towards entropy that is life: the salmon belly required “cooking” via torch. I must oblige, even if ultimately futile.