many people have observed the disconnect between resurgent and exacerbated COVID cases this fall without commensurate death increases. Here is plot of detailed Toronto information (pop 3 MM) color coded by age subgroup, paneled to Young, Middle and Old. 
2/ nearly all of the present surge in cases is among 20-60 year olds, but this component of surge has had negligible impact on hospitalizations and even less on deaths (almost non-existent in this cohort)
3/ main factor in reduced hospitalizations and deaths in present surge appears to be lower COVID case rates among over-80s thus far as compared to spring.
4/ shutting down working class BBQ restaurants serving under 40s seems like a blunt tool to protect over-80s, whether they are in retirement homes or in their own houses.
5/ We know a lot more about this virus than we did in the spring, especially about the ability of young and middle-aged people to resist and recover. Policies that were justifiable in the spring are not necessarily justifiable now.
6/ the focus of media on cases, while ignoring the much lower death rates in fall recurrence, is needlessly feeding anxiety.
7/ as someone MUCH closer to 80 than to 40, I have zero desire or with to increase economic hardship of earnest young small businesses and do NOT want governments to make their lives any harder in the supposed cause of my age cohort and older.
8/ in Canada, it appears that we will not have a vaccine until spring at best - needless to say, precisely when virus will probably recede seasonally. So these decisions will be with us for next 5 months unfortunately.
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