1\ People compare COVID-19 hysteria to the Salem Witch Trials, to various political movements, and to other mass delusions of the fairly distant past
But the best model for understanding lockdowns is 1980s USA, when the world hallucinated a sprawling, satanic child rape pandemic
2\ As with COVID-19, there *was* a small kernel of truth beneath the hysteria
Horrible things did happen to a few kids, just as in a world of 7.7 billion, a handful of healthy youngsters have died from COVID-19
3\ As with COVID-19, the child rape hallucinations were endorsed by credentialed public officials of all stripes: educators, prosecutors, social workers, investigators, doctors
As with COVID-19, *most* experts didn't believe the hype, but only the most hysterical got media play
4\ As with COVID-19, brand new quackery was dressed up as "The Science", despite all existing science pointing in the opposite direction
Just as we have Long Covid, Kawasaki Like Disease, and Heart Damage, the 80s had Recovered Memories and Anal Wink
5\ As with COVID-19, there was a huge gender skew in the hysteria, with women more involved in spreading fear
6\ As with COVID-19, politicians understood that hysteria could further their aims. Prosecutors (including Janet Reno) realized that prosecuting imagined sex crimes was a route to higher office
7\ As with COVID-19 and the sensitive topic of death, decent people tactfully preferred not to question "recovered memories" and the sensitive topic of rape
The result was an illusion of unanimity; only the crazies went on TV, while the rational remained quiet
8\8 And as will one day happen with COVID-19, people eventually awoke to the fact that they had helped perpetuate a grotesque hysteria
And in their shame, they preferred not to memorialize that fact
Which is why we barely remember that we all lost our minds in the 80s
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2\ They live in a city of a few million where many of the doctors are from a close-knit ethnic community
Well, the Karen side of the family sent around a philipic written by a local doctor, telling of COVID patients dying in hallways, etc, and warning people to mask up
3\ Locally, the thread went viral, mostly on WhatsApp
Well, my lady used to be a local pharma rep, and she knew the doc who was supposedly stepping over bodies to get to his ward
If you can identify the jobs that a policy will "create", that policy almost certainly destroys net jobs
If you can identify the jobs that a new technology will destroy, that technology almost certainly creates net jobs
2\ In the first case, the usual reason you know a policy will "create" jobs is because you know it is replacing an efficient process with an inefficient one
E.g. replacing fossil fuels with solar "creates" energy jobs, but destroys net jobs by making society diffusely poorer
3\ In the second case, a technology can "destroy" the jobs it makes redundant, but by allowing resources to be better allocated, it frees society to employ labor in novel roles
2\ Garett's scholarship (summarized in "10% Less Democracy") persuasively argues that outcomes of all sorts are improved when governments are a little less responsive to the political process, and a little more responsive to insulated technocrats
3\ Garett's prior is that Sweden had bad COVID-19 outcomes. He's wrong about this (for reasons that would require another thread to explain), but the assumption seems to have made him see Sweden as a nail in need of his "less democracy" hammer
1\ This is the weirdest thread about a lighthouse you will ever read
12 miles off the English coast are the dangerous Eddystone Rocks, which so terrified mariners that they preferred to risk shipwreck by hugging the French coast
2\ The first person to attempt a lighthouse on the Rocks was Henry Winstanley in 1969. But England was at war with France, and a French privateer took Henry prisoner and destroyed the works
Louis XIV set Henry free, saying "France is at war with England, not with humanity"
3\ Henry finished the wooden lighthouse but had the bad judgment to be making additions to it with five other men when the Great Storm of 1703 hit. He and his men were never seen again
The Great Storm killed over 1,000 seaman and toppled many more chimneys
1\ There's a sort of "science homily" about limes and scurvy:
That Lind did a randomized control trial with limes, completely eradicated scurvy, and then was ignored by the scientific establishment because they were all idiots
I was surprised to learn this ain't so...
2\ The proceedings from the Royal Society of London make it clear that the scientific establishment was, well, scientific. It's just that the data was confusing!
First, the proposed mechanisms of action didn't make sense:
3\ Second, there were cases where scurvy happened despite lime juice, as well as cases where scurvy was avoided despite a diet of only meat:
1\ Many of my conservative friends part ways with me when it comes to immigration
They believe in free association but see problems when it comes to free movement of people across borders
What about crime? Welfare? Voting?
There's a comic book that addresses these concerns!
2\ My notes from the book:
3\ I'd like to see @bryan_caplan address the criticism that some of his rebuttals ("Immigrants aren't that socialist!", "They don't commit much crime!") are plausibly true only *because* of immigration restrictions
Would those rebuttals hold with fully open borders?