The government's promised analysis of the economic effects of the tier system is, in fact, an explanation as to why they are still not estimating the impact of specific restrictions. V difficult to see how this appeases the economic rebels: assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
'Any attempt to estimate specific economic impacts of precise changes to individual restrictions for a defined period of time would be subject to such wide uncertainty as to not be meaningful for precise policy making'
...surely the same is true of Covid modeling, which we do...
...surely the same is true of Covid modeling, which we do...
This is remarkable. The 'economic assessment' is posing questions MPs were expecting to have answered by this document. 'Impact of the tier will depend on a range of things' - that's what this analysis was supposed to take a stab at! 
I said 'remarkable' too soon. This is the chart they've published to explain how a region moves up or down the tier system. It's based on 'principles'. Totally meaningless. Not the smallest indication as to what the data thresholds actually are to be moved.
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