1) Portfolio summary - Nov-end

$ADYEY $AFTPY $CRWD $DAO $DDOG $DKNG $DOCU $FUBO $LSPD $MELI $OKTA $PINS $PLTR $ROKU $SE $SHOP $SNAP $SNOW $SQ $STNE $TWLO $U $UBER $VRM

Return since 1 Sept 2016 -

Portfolio +471.83%
$ACWI +50.46%
$SPX +67.46%
2) CAGR since inception (1 Sept 2016) -

Portfolio +51.91%
$ACWI +10.29%
$SPX +13.18%

YTD return -

Portfolio +311.08%
$ACWI +10.25%
$SPX +12.10%

Contd...
3) Biggest positions -

1) $MELI 2) $ROKU 3) $PLTR 4) $SE 5) $PINS

Buys - $AFTPY $FUBO $LSPD $SNAP $STNE $UBER
Sells - $AYX $BABA $FROG $FVRR $GDRX $ZM

Contd...
4) Note -

When calculating the custom portfolio return (1 Sept '16 onwards), my broker's new software works with a day's lag so the above performance and portfolio CAGR is from 1 Sept '16 until 27 Nov' 2020).

The YTD performance shown above is until the end of the month....
5) Moving onto my portfolio, November turned out to be a very strong month and my a/c appreciated by 29.33%.

During the month, a few COVID-19 vaccines were announced which prompted me to make several changes to benefit from the re-opening of the economy.

Accordingly, I sold...
6) my positions in some of the over-extended "work from home" companies and grabbed shares in a few promising businesses which were temporarily hurt by the pandemic.

Elsewhere, after the Ant IPO fiasco and China's proposed anti-trust regulation, I decided to sell my $BABA ...
7) shares and after $AMZN entry into the pharmacy space, also sold my position in $GDRX at a loss.

Elsewhere, I booked a tidy profit in my $VXX short position (which I sold when $VIX was around 40 and covered a few days ago)....
8) Turning to the broad market, I am of the opinion that the Fed's easy monetary policy, COVID-19 vaccine and the re-opening of the economy are likely to be positive for stocks and we should see a sustained rally until at least spring.

This is just my opinion though and it...
9) could very well be wrong; so nobody should rely on it.

In terms of my holdings, I am of the view that my remaining "work from home" stocks will continue to underperform for a while as they consolidate/digest their massive gains and those companies which benefit from the...
10) re-opening of the economy are likely to shine in '21.

Once again, this is just my educated guess which could prove to be wrong, so nobody should rely on it.

In summary, 2020 has been a mind-blowing year, both for the real-world and my portfolio and I'm fairly certain...
11) that things will become more boring in 2021 and beyond. Furthermore, I am 99.99% certain that my entire portfolio will probably never quadruple again within a single year!

So, in terms of my prowess, you are probably witnessing "Peak Puru" and my performance...
12) (in terms of YTD growth) will only go downhill from here.

During these crazy times, worth remembering that the GOAT (Druckenmiller) compounded at 30%pa over his entire career, so this year's returns are an anomaly.

On this sobering note, onwards and upwards.

THE END.
* During the month, I also took tiny/starter positions in $FVRR and $PGNY which were held for just a few days. However, due to different reasons, I closed these promptly.

Often, when I want to track a company closely, I pick up a few shares (< 0.3% of a/c equity).

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More from @saxena_puru

18 Nov
$ABNB financials -

#AirbnbIPO
$ABNB massive market -
$ABNB core strengths "moat sources" -
Read 4 tweets
31 Oct
1) Portfolio summary - Oct-end

$ADYEY $AYX $BABA $CRWD $DAO $DDOG $DKNG $DOCU $FROG $GDRX $MELI $OKTA $PINS $PLTR $ROKU $SE $SHOP $SNOW $SQ $TWLO $U $VRM $ZM

Return since 1 Sept '16 -

Portfolio +343.54%
$ACWI +32.03%
$SPX +50.63%

Contd...
2) CAGR since inception (1 Sept 2016) -

Portfolio +42.94%
$ACWI +6.89%
$SPX +10.32%

YTD return -

Portfolio +221.75%
$ACWI (-)2.52%
$SPX +1.21%

Contd...
3) Biggest positions -

1) $BABA 2) $MELI 3) $SE 4) $ROKU 5) $PINS

New buys - $GDRX $PINS $PLTR
Sells - $ETSY $FEAC $FSLY

Contd...
Read 16 tweets
13 Oct
Portfolio update (mid-month) -



New position -
Sold -
Why I grabbed shares of and sold out of -

is an iconic business which I've followed for years and up until recently, I didn't like its customer concentration and reliance on the public sector. However, after reading the company's S-1, press releases and...
...discussions with @cperruna , I changed my mind and picked up shares.

appears to be a solid business with a durable 'moat' i.e. customer switching costs, network effects, brand intangibles and mgt. has guided for 40%+ revenue growth in '20 and 30%+ growth in '21...
Read 5 tweets
6 Oct
1) Why the tech bubble might not pop in 2020 -

Due to my heavy tech exposure, over the past few months, I've spent a lot of time thinking about the '00-'02 tech bust.

After all, COVID 'winners' have now become mainstream and valuations have shot through the roof; so I'm...
2)...naturally concerned about what may be lurking around the corner.

After considering all factors, I've come to the conclusion that although we are in an 'incipient bubble' the party isn't likely to end anytime soon due to two reasons...
3) First and foremost, unlike early 2000, the Fed is currently extremely accommodative and creating hundreds of billions of new dollars. Furthermore, unlike early 2000, the yield curve is currently normal (not inverted).

Last but not least, unlike the 2000-2002...
Read 9 tweets
5 Oct
Carbon emissions by country -

#1 - China
#2 - USA
#3 - EU (not really a country)
#4 - India
#5 - Russia

#ClimateChange
Carbon emissions **per-capita** by region -

#1 - Middle East
#2 - North America
#3 - Australia and New Zealand
Each country's share of CO2 emissions (August 2020) -

1) China - 28%
2) USA - 15%
3) India - 7%
4) Russia - 5%
5) Japan - 3%

#ClimateChange
Read 5 tweets
1 Oct
The naysayers now saying that "I got lucky this year"!

If 22 years of investing/living through prior cycles, learning from past mistakes, continuous learning and months of backtesting to fine-tune my hedging strategy can be described as 'luck' - then yes guilty as charged.
Haters before the crash -

"He is crazy for owning these bubble stocks which will crash hard during the next bear-market."

Haters after the crash -

"He just got lucky, just happened to hedge in time and somehow owned those stocks which benefited from COVID. He is clueless."
A no. of people have asked me why my portfolio didn't fare better between early '18 and early '20?

Short answer - my 45% allocation to China

Due to the 'Trade War', my China ADRs declined by ~50% in '18 and treaded water in '19. For 2 years, half my portfolio was dead money.
Read 4 tweets

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