Thread by @TheValuesVoter

A lot of Trump supporters seem to be especially suspicious at the fact that Joe Biden won Arizona and Georgia by very slim margins. Despite the fact that they recounted Georgia BY HAND and found the results to be consistent with the machine results.

Which got me thinking.

Biden won Arizona by 10,457 votes and won Georgia by 12,670 votes.

I started wondering how many times in recent elections have states been closer than this?

To my surprise, it's happened a lot.

In the 2016 election, Clinton won New Hampshire by 2,736 votes. And Trump won Michigan by 10,704 votes. Both smaller in raw vote margin than Biden's 12,670 vote win in Georgia.

In 2008, McCain won Missouri by 3,903 votes and won Montana by 11,096 votes.

In 2004, four states were decided by a vote margin smaller than that of Georgia in 2020. Bush won New Mexico by 5,988 votes. Kerry won New Hampshire by 9,274 votes. Bush won Iowa by 10,059 votes. And Kerry won Wisconsin by 11,384 votes.

In 2000, there were SIX such states. Florida wasn't even the closest state in 2000 in terms of raw vote margin.

Gore won New Mexico by 366 votes. Bush won Florida by 537. Gore won Iowa by 4,144, Wisconsin by 5,708 and Oregon by 6,765 votes. Bush won New Hampshire by 7,211 votes.

In 1996, Clinton won Nevada by 4,730 votes. Dole won South Dakota by 11,210 and won Montana by 11,730 votes.

In 1992, Clinton won New Hampshire by 6,556 votes and Montana by 10,300. Bush won Wyoming by 11,187 votes and South Dakota by 11,830.

So six times in the last seven Presidential elections there have been MORE THAN ONE state that was decided by fewer than 12,670 votes. Of course, these are all states with different populations and so the % margins vary. But that's still a close election. It's happened a lot.