Ontario media is fretting over higher COVID stats. COVID hospitalizations now up to 645, well off the spring peak of over 1000, but we had been under 100 in August. But is this the serious strain on system as we're so often told? 
2/ cihi.ca says that it has monthly statistics but they don't appear to be published anywhere. The most recent public data appears to be annual data for fiscal 2018-2019 (ending Mar 31, 2019.) Based on 7.6 MM hospital-days, daily occupancy is ~20,980.
3/ this figure is consistent with govt statement in April 2020 news.ontario.ca/en/release/566… which stated that Ontario had 20,354 acute care beds, planning 4,205 more by Apr 30, 2020 for pandemic, of which 2,811 now equipped with ventilators, up from 1,319 when outbreak started.
4/ so COVID cases now represent about 3% of average 2019 hospitalizations. Also they fill only ~15% of the increase in capacity announced in April. Currently 115 COVIDs are on ventilators, using only about 7% of the ventilators acquired in early stage of COVID.
5/ Ontario recently ordered 10,000 ventilator units. toronto.citynews.ca/2020/10/27/ont… This order would provide nearly 100 ventilators for each person currently being ventilated for COVID. I guess this is what media call "following the science".
6/ if I manage to obtain current hospitalization data, my guess is that levels are lower than in 2019, even with COVID.
7/ there are reported to be over 400 hospital in Ontario. The tsunami of 650 currently hospitalized works out to be ~1.5 COVID patient per hospital. No wonder the health system operators at their wit's end. Even more heroic than we thought.
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