* Tannehill emerges from a tough stretch of pass defenses that included PIT, CHI, BAL, IND x2
* Tannehillβs best scores: 26.8 // 30 // 33.6 // 22.9
* Brown in those games: DNP // 21.2 // 22.8 // 16.2
* Henry in those games: 8.4 // 19.3 // 43.4 // 23.2
* Only SEA has faced more pass att/g than TEN (39.8), but Mayfield has thrown just 30 passes only 3 times all year (39, 30, 37)
* Mayfieldβs 258 yds last week were his second most all year (297 is highest)
LV @ NYJ
* The Jets are allowing 150.7 completed air yds/g with an obscenely high completion percentage on deep balls
*Carr on 20+ yd throws: 17/37 for 644 yds, 6 TD, INT (graded Elite in all 3 areas of the field by PFF).
* Jacobs is questionable, and Booker already has a game this year with 16 att
* Darnoldβs only TD since Week 3 was a long scramble vs DEN in Week 4
JAX @ MIN
* Top QBs vs MIN (Russ, Watson, Rodgers, Ryan) have 16 TDs to 1 INT
* Other QBs vs MIN (Rivers, Tanny, Stafford, Daniel, Foles, Dalton, Teddy) have 7 TDs to 8 INT
* Minshew & Glennon definitely fall in the second bucket
* MIN has allowed 102.2 RB rush yds/g and 35.8 RB rec yds/g
"With how aggressive each team has been with their play calling tendencies (Zac Taylor and Ron Rivera), look for each defense to get worn down as the game plays out, leading to increased scoring opportunities in the third and fourth quarters."
"We have a high number of expected plays likely to be run in this game, but a low game total and thus a low amount of expected touchdowns, meaning we should be focused on a specific player or players that we can confidently project to emerge with the highest expected volume."
Our Favorite Nuggets from Every Game to Get You πReady for the Weekend...π
LAR @ MIA
"The Rams rank 1st in DVOA on the ground (9th through the air) and 4th in rush play rate.
"The Dolphins rank 6th in DVOA against the pass in their 2nd year under Brian Floresβ¦but they rank 32nd against the run. The Ramsβ path forward in this game is clear."
"We should expect the Dolphins to try to keep this game fairly balanced with their rookie QB taking over; and when they do throw, we should expect plenty of ball-out-quick concepts to neutralize Aaron Darnold"