Ontario update

Data is 100% public and official, and fully cited.

#COVID19Canada #COVID19Ontario
Covid-19 still presents a risk primarily to the elderly, not to children and hardly to working-age adults.

(n.b. Based on 2020 YTD data for Covid-19 - figures to be revised.)
The average age of a death by or with covid-19 is higher than life expectancy.

Deaths among those over 80 account for 69.5% of deaths by/with covid-19, but only 52.2% of all deaths (all causes) in 2018.

More deaths over 90 than under 80.
Ontario (population: 14,745,040):

Total deaths by/with covid-19: 3,737 (253 deaths per every million people in ON or 0.03%)

38.8% of Canadian population but 29.9% of Canada deaths by/with covid-19
Deaths in Ontario, 2016 - August 2020.

(n.b. Based on 2020 YTD data for Covid-19 - figures to be revised upward as needed.)
This is what 2020 might look like in Ontario month-to-month if:
1. All-cause deaths (excl. Covid-19) are in line with 2018-19 averages
2. All Covid-19 deaths are single-cause excess deaths

(n.b. Based on 2020 YTD data for Covid-19 - figures to be revised upward as needed.)
Ontario total deaths 2017-August 2020, including Covid-19. Recent 2020 data may be subject to revision.
Covid-19 has been a crisis in Ontario's long-term care (LTC) system vs. among the general public.

(n.b. Based on 2020 YTD data for Covid-19 - figures to be revised upward as needed.)
Deaths among long-term care residents (0.5% of the Ontario population) account for 63.1% of all Ontario deaths from/with Covid-19.

(n.b. Based on 2020 YTD data for Covid-19 - figures to be revised upward as needed.)
The two most important metrics to watch: deaths and ICU occupancy.

Ontario now reports:

- 207 in ICU (5.9% of max system capacity)

- 116 in ICU on a ventilator (4.1% of max system capacity)
Ontario now reports:

- 207 in ICU (5.9% of max system capacity)

- 116 in ICU on a ventilator (4.1% of max system capacity)
The number of hospitalizations linked to covid-19 in Ontario has generally not approached levels commonly observed for influenza and pneumonia, with even the April peak being comparable only to the summer lull.
Ontario now reports:

- 674 in hospital

- 207 in ICU

- 116 in ICU on a ventilator
As data on daily new hospitalizations is not publicly available, this is the average daily net change in hospitalizations (ICU and non-ICU).
A note on hospitalization data: This may include those who have had a positive test result after being hospitalized for a different reason.
Ontario - The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line).
Ontario Fall/Winter season: May be able to declare a peak when average week-over-week growth reaches zero.

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More from @Milhouse_Van_Ho

28 Nov
November 28 novembre

Weekly update for / Mise à jour hebdomadaire du Ontario/Quebec/Canada

Data is 100% public and official, and fully cited. / Les données sont 100% publiques et officielles.

#COVID19Canada #COVID19Ontario #COVID19Canada #covid19qc #covid19toronto
Read 10 tweets
28 Nov
November 28 – Ontario weekly update

Data is 100% public and official, and fully cited.

#COVID19Canada #COVID19Ontario #COVID19Toronto #COVID19Ottawa
Ontario - Covid-19 still presents a risk primarily to the elderly, not to children and hardly to working-age adults.

(n.b. Based on 2020 YTD data for Covid-19 - figures to be revised.)
Ontario - The average age of a death by or with covid-19 is higher than life expectancy.

Deaths among those over 80 account for 69.4% of deaths by/with covid-19, but only 52.2% of all deaths (all causes) in 2018.

More deaths over 90 than under 80.
Read 25 tweets
28 Nov
28 novembre – Mise à jour hebdomadaire du Québec

Les données sont 100% publiques et officielles.

#COVID19Canada #covid19qc
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Nombre total de décès liés à Covid-19: 6 984 (817 décès pour chaque million de personnes au Québec ou 0,08%).

22,5% de la population canadienne, mais 58,7% des décès liés à la covid-19 au Canada.
Les deux paramètres les plus importants à surveiller: les décès et hospitalisations aux soins intensifs.

90 hospitalisations aux soins intensifs en cours au Québec.
Read 8 tweets
20 Nov
November 20 novembre

Weekly update for / Mise à jour hebdomadaire du Ontario/Quebec/Canada

Data is 100% public and official, and fully cited. / Les données sont 100% publiques et officielles.

#COVID19Canada #COVID19Ontario #COVID19Canada #covid19qc #covid19toronto
Canada - Covid-19 still presents a risk primarily to the elderly, not to children and hardly to working-age adults.

(n.b. Based on 2020 YTD data for Covid-19 - figures to be revised.)
However, Covid-19 is often not a wholly distinct and separate cause of death as there are other medical conditions involved in many cases.

There are also cases in which it is not even a cause of death, but the individual had tested positive sometime prior to their death.
Read 10 tweets
20 Nov
20 novembre – Mise à jour hebdomadaire du Québec

Les données sont 100% publiques et officielles.

#COVID19Canada #covid19qc
Québec (population: 8,552,362):

Nombre total de décès liés à Covid-19: 6 744 (789 décès pour chaque million de personnes au Québec ou 0,08%).

22,5% de la population canadienne, mais 59,9% des décès liés à la covid-19 au Canada.
Les deux paramètres les plus importants à surveiller: les décès et hospitalisations aux soins intensifs.

101 hospitalisations aux soins intensifs en cours au Québec.
Read 8 tweets
20 Nov
November 20 – Ontario weekly update

Data is 100% public and official, and fully cited.

#COVID19Canada #COVID19Ontario #COVID19Toronto #COVID19Ottawa
Ontario - Covid-19 still presents a risk primarily to the elderly, not to children and hardly to working-age adults.

(n.b. Based on 2020 YTD data for Covid-19 - figures to be revised.)
However, Covid-19 is often not a wholly distinct and separate cause of death as there are other medical conditions involved in many cases.

There are also cases in which it is not even a cause of death, but the individual had tested positive sometime prior to their death.
Read 25 tweets

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