Thread: Why is currency monopoly so important to these gov't representatives? And what sort of dissembling are they up in claiming that they want "to make sure the currency monopoly remains in the hands of states”?
Do they suppose that the only alternative to "states" possessing such monopolies is some sort of private currency monopoly? What about competition? Do they think it impossible? If so, on what grounds?
Not history: until the 20th century, state currency monopolies were the exception, not the rule. Many commercial banks issuer circulating notes, denominated and redeemable in what where then typically gold or silver standard money units.
Paper currency was not a "natural monopoly" then, and digital "stablecoins" aren't not. Only loose talk by economists who fail to stick to the expression's technical meaning makes people think otherwise.
Then there's the opposite myth--that competition in currency is bound to lead to a proliferation of currency brands, many of them disreputable products of fly-by-night issuers. Typically those who perpetuate this view appeal to antebellum U.S. experience. coindesk.com/in-the-wildcat…
The misinterpret that experience as exemplifying the results of unregulated competition. It was in fact nothing of the sort! The "badness" of that era's private currencies was almost all due to misguided government regulations. alt-m.org/2015/07/23/rea…
Competitive currency systems elsewhere were quite successful. Yet today's would-be digital currency monopolists and economists employed by them also misinterpret the records of those successful competitive currency systems.
Consider this Bank of Canada study of Canada's 19th century private banknote system. bankofcanada.ca/2017/02/staff-… Among other things it concludes "that privately issued digital currencies will not be perfectly safe...
"without government intervention, government-issued digital currency will not drive out existing private digital currencies, and government intervention will be required for privately issued and government-issued digital currencies to be a uniform currency."
In fact, if Canadian experience suggests anything, it's that such conclusions are unfounded. It took me three long posts to point out just how the BofC study goes awry. Here's the first; others are linked at the end of it: alt-m.org/2017/03/16/wro…
I'm the last person to say we shouldn't look to experience--including that of past centuries--to learn lessons about sound monetary and payments-system policies today. But while good economic history helps, the bad sort will only cause governments to repeat past mistakes.

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More from @GeorgeSelgin

9 Dec
"At the start of 2020, the dollar’s run had endured 100 years. That would have been reason to question how much longer it could continue." This crude instance of the gambler's fallacy is one of many reasons why I find Ruchir Sharma's FT piece unconvincing: ft.com/content/ea33b6…
Another is his suggestion that, although "When the pandemic hit, the US dollar was as mighty as ever," the pandemic has changed that. To paraphrase Mark Twain, rumors of the end of the dollar's "exorbitant privilege" are much exaggerated.
In fact the demand for dollars rose to exceptional levels early in the crisis; if it has declined somewhat since, it is only from that unusual peak: globalbankingandfinance.com/does-the-pande…
Read 13 tweets
7 Dec
States have been monopolizing currency of all sorts since ancient times, and they have been claiming for just as long that their monopolies are necessary to preserve the integrity of their nations' currency stocks. So necessary that threats to them were typically capital crimes.
The claims were first made w.r.t. coinage. They were never valid. Coins are standardized metal discs, and there is no reason at all why they couldn't be privately and competitively supplied, just like many other standardized products.
What's more, we know it, not just from theory, but from evidence taken from those rare instances in which govt's have tolerated private coinage. Here's a brief summary of U.S. experience w/ private gold coins: fee.org/articles/priva…
Read 15 tweets
7 Dec
Like @MoneyIllusion, I believe the Fed's calls for a larger fiscal response are calls for relief rather than stimulus. Generally Fed officials are reluctant to chime in on fiscal policy. themoneyillusion.com/does-the-fed-f… 1/n
But complaints about limited uptake some of the Fed's 13(3) facilities, and of its MSLF and MLF especially, have egged them on this time. Those complaining have often suggested that the Fed's lending terms have been too strict.
Some wonder why the Fed can't take bigger risks, or make its loans forgivable, like the SBA. But the Fed's 13(3) lending rules aren't so flexible, even with Treasury backstops. So Fed officials have called for more fiscal action to relieve the Fed of such pressure.
Read 4 tweets
6 Dec
I should add that the belief in question wouldn't be problematic if it were based on careful studies of the evidence and theories informed by such. But it isn't. Instead, we get theories (like the Diamond-Dybvig model) concocted to rationalize prior beliefs. 1/2
People in turn cite such theories as proof that their preconceived notions are in fact sound. In fact the theories prove nothing of the kind. They are so many formal models of a myth.
As such, the theories are useful, as they show what sorts of things would have to be true for the mythical crises to actually occur. But too many fail to use them that way. Instead they write things like, "Banking is inherently unstable (See Diamond and Dybvig, 1983)." Ugh!
Read 6 tweets
4 Dec
The debate about stablecoin regulation is at bottom part of a broader debate about regulatory classification of fintech payment service providers (PSPs). But it is, IMHO, wrong to reduce this debate to the question, "Is it a 'bank' or not?"
Posing the question that way implies that there are only two options: (1) Fintech PSPs aren't banks, and therefore shouldn't have to get stnd. bank charters or abide by the reg's that go w/ such to gain access to public settlement facilities. That's what many stablecoin fans say.
(2) fintech PSPs are banks; and therefore must be get bank charters and be subject to the same regulations ordinary banks must abide by. That's the answer offered by the STABLE Act tlaib.house.gov/media/press-re…
Read 12 tweets
3 Dec
Thread: I don't think @WSJ confused and inaccurate editorial doing anyone, including @judyshel, any favors. wsj.com/articles/shelt…
The WSJ responds to Lamar Alexander's suggestion that placing Shelton on the Board of Governors would have meant handing control of monetary policy "to a Congress and a President who can’t balance the federal budget."
It tries to turn the tables on the Shelton-less Fed, observing it has already "willingly become the chief enabler" of the present government's failure to balance the budget--as if the Fed were a schoolyard drug pusher and Trump and Congress were innocent schoolchildren.
Read 13 tweets

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