Context: Eight months ago, a Hoover Institute group talked to the press about their planned seroprevalance study, which they hyped as possibly showing that California was close to herd immunity (that so many people had been infected, the virus would stop spreading on its own).
It was clear on the date this article was published that it was a pipe dream, but “herd immunity is nigh” theories have been remarkably immune to evidence.
https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1249414291297464321
The study itself was funded by folks with an interest in finding herd immunity. Instead, they came up with 3%—far short of herd immunity—and most of these were likely false negatives from the poorly vetted antibody test. buzzfeednews.com/article/stepha…
The antibody test simply couldn't give a reliable percentage because contrary to the Hoover folks' hopes, hardly anyone at the time had been infected. the-scientist.com/news-opinion/h…
As the numbers from California show, we were not close to herd immunity on April 7.
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