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Context: Fox News screen capture from @atrupar.

There are two huge problems with this chart.
@atrupar The first is that over 99 cases per 100,000 is an incredibly high number; higher than most countries have *ever* recorded (including the USA). Coding states with that number as yellow is insane. (The chart below shows cases per million, so 99 per 100,000 is off this chart high.) Image
@atrupar Second, even with the scale problem, the data are randomly wrong. Below is the actual CDC chart. (Note that Oklahoma is missing data; they should probably be a pretty dark blue). The Fox map does not seem to be based on actual data. covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra… Image
Some comments defending the Fox chart as supposedly being based on total cases over the last seven days, not the daily average. If this were true, the chart is even more incorrect. If Fox had done that, the only blue state would be Hawaii, & there would be zero green states. Image

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More from @BadCOVID19Takes

9 Dec
ImageImage
Context on how a flatly false claim like this spreads.

For months, careless or dishonest people have been citing this table as if it includes all deaths in 2020, and comparing this number with past years' complete number. cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr…
It does not: the first week reported in that table is February 1, because the point of the table is to show COVID deaths.
Read 4 tweets
8 Dec
Image
Context: This take makes pretty angry. People mention Cain to Republicans because he was a Republican. His untimely death is hardly the youngest nor the only well-known death.
And of course, celebrity deaths are not the only ones that matter.

Don't sink to the bottom with this guy.
Read 4 tweets
8 Dec
ImageImageImage
Context: Eight months ago, a Hoover Institute group talked to the press about their planned seroprevalance study, which they hyped as possibly showing that California was close to herd immunity (that so many people had been infected, the virus would stop spreading on its own).
It was clear on the date this article was published that it was a pipe dream, but “herd immunity is nigh” theories have been remarkably immune to evidence.
Read 6 tweets
7 Dec
Image
Context: If this were a good faith question, the answer would be pretty straightforward.
But good faith questions are not bad takes, and this is definitely a bad take. Image
Read 5 tweets
26 Nov
Context: The excess deaths are real and unmistakable. To the extent that the quoted claims are based on deaths among the elderly being about in their normal proportion, this is unsurprising—the virus kills all ages, but skews old, just like all deaths do.
The student article has been removed, and so of course now there are conspiracy theories about *that*
Read 4 tweets
16 Sep
Image
Context: While the apparent CFR (case fatality rate) might be nearly 3%, the *infection* fatality rate is significantly lower because many cases are not diagnosed. The CDC estimated an IFR of 0.65%.
This would still be a huge additional death toll. Even under a more conservative figure of 0.4%, "deaths until herd immunity" is a grizzly policy recommendation. Which is why this response is also a bad take: Image
Read 4 tweets

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